CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd033ca104507aefc0552a07decc67c2354a74eb35ad3683c4939649a186cfe7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROIC Academyof M80, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked HEROIC Academy | 50c | 961$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.52 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked M80 | 56c | 940.75$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.04 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed M80 | 60c | 858.6$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.58 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HEROIC Academy | 46c | 813.04$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.04 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 56c | 749.69$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.34 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked HEROIC Academy | 58c | 697.78$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.55 | 627 | 38.8%243 W · 384 L | -31.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked M80 | 48c | 477.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.17 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa900…5acebacked M80 | 43c | 389.78$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.79 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57eb…beeabacked HEROIC Academy | 55c | 363.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.21 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917d…9429backed M80 | 52c | 288$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.58 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed M80 | 65c | 222.58$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.93 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce2…4b11backed M80 | 42c | 180$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.2 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked HEROIC Academy | 15c | 180$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.16 | 228 | 38.6%88 W · 140 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked M80 | 59c | 144$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked HEROIC Academy | 53c | 140.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.07 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked M80 | 32c | 138$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed M80 | 39c | 127$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.37 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 72c | 127$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked HEROIC Academy | 15c | 126$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.64 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed M80 | 52c | 110$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.45 | 247 | 47%116 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ef…c822backed HEROIC Academy | 61c | 108.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.36 | 153 | 73.2%112 W · 41 L | +18.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…b652backed M80 | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 217 | 39.2%85 W · 132 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed M80 | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed M80 | 47c | 95.32$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.35 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed M80 | 49c | 93$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.87 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked HEROIC Academy | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed M80 | 40c | 85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 223 | 24.7%55 W · 168 L | -21.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked M80 | 64c | 68.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed HEROIC Academy | 53c | 63.33$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.57 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked M80 | 47c | 63$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed HEROIC Academy | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…d073backed HEROIC Academy | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked HEROIC Academy | 35c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed M80 | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.87 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked HEROIC Academy | 41c | 41.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed M80 | 67c | 40.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.47 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed M80 | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed M80 | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed M80 | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed M80 | 67c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x612e…8427backed HEROIC Academy | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed M80 | 74c | 16.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked M80 | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - Journey PlayoffsHEROIC Academy won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 WinnerHEROIC Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.