TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Kansas City Royals vs. Atlanta Braves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kansas City Royalsof Kansas City Royals, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$418,250
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$484,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $418,250 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 249 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9cb9…32f2backed Kansas City Royals41c145,000$59,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,549.9616347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…41ccbacked Atlanta Braves59c121,968$71,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,961.238148.6%185 W · 196 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Kansas City Royals41c55,475$22,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,730.231741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Atlanta Braves59c21,883$12,921 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,920.651,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Atlanta Braves59c20,672$12,198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,197.7265050.3%327 W · 323 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Atlanta Braves59c20,353$12,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,097.4915550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Kansas City Royals41c17,728$7,289 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,438.431,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Atlanta Braves59c17,080$10,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,077.227452.6%144 W · 130 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Atlanta Braves60c16,168$9,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,650.6421656.5%122 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Atlanta Braves59c11,532$6,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,803.7732348.9%158 W · 165 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Kansas City Royals41c10,250$4,202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,047.318633.7%29 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Kansas City Royals41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.7647953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Kansas City Royals51c7,888$4,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,843.412,38943.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01ae…4385backed Atlanta Braves59c7,320$4,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,318.840%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Atlanta Braves59c6,070$3,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,581.555,40050.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L+17.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Atlanta Braves60c5,200$3,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,12030647.4%145 W · 161 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Atlanta Braves24c5,192$1,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,223.571833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Kansas City Royals41c5,045$2,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,976.5523538.3%90 W · 145 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Atlanta Braves4c4,338$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.551,45642.7%622 W · 834 L-39.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Kansas City Royals40c4,195$1,678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,517.261,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked Atlanta Braves60c3,927$2,356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,356771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+24.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e0…ad50backed Kansas City Royals40c2,624$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.2731149.2%153 W · 158 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6165…db3cbacked Atlanta Braves61c2,557$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5602657.7%15 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Atlanta Braves58c2,555$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.871,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Kansas City Royals41c2,520$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick41cpaid+60.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Atlanta Braves59c2,353$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.2775049.7%373 W · 377 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47bc…9504backed Kansas City Royals41c2,350$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.196653%35 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Atlanta Braves59c2,156$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.823354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Royals41c1,775$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.0312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca0…9b86backed Atlanta Braves6c1,674$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007934.2%27 W · 52 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas City Royals38c1,612$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$999.521,91153.1%1,014 W · 897 L+43.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd45…f2aabacked Atlanta Braves59c1,537$907 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906.792035%7 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Atlanta Braves6c1,384$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.9611125.2%28 W · 83 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kansas City Royals43c1,317$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.021,02951.2%527 W · 502 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f16…b5b9backed Atlanta Braves1c1,317$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.143438.2%13 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b9f…8bc1backed Atlanta Braves2c1,224$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e12…3187backed Atlanta Braves48c1,151$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.4710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Atlanta Braves60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60014724.5%36 W · 111 L-0.3wins0.00per pick25cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5318…1118backed Atlanta Braves60c1,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6006752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ff5…f136backed Atlanta Braves26c887.01$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2305054%27 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Atlanta Braves45c872.56$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$389.751,12144.1%494 W · 627 L-32.4wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals68c854.68$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.098,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Atlanta Braves2c849.16$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.073929.4%37 W · 355 L+1.5wins0.00per pick9cpaid-40.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9f…b921backed Atlanta Braves12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Atlanta Braves60c800$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48029948.8%146 W · 153 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals72c752.26$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.259,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76b4…ca9bbacked Atlanta Braves59c699.97$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.982748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Atlanta Braves59c699.93$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.9685952.6%452 W · 407 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa535…9e5ebacked Atlanta Braves59c620.34$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36646749.5%231 W · 236 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Kansas City Royals42c600$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3483,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Kansas City Royals40c580.33$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.3350751.7%262 W · 245 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7418…ab9fbacked Atlanta Braves30c580$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.83627.8%10 W · 26 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-38.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Kansas City Royals41c552$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.6846547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Atlanta Braves44c542.61$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.331,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Kansas City Royals40c513$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.87839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Atlanta Braves58c509.47$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.499843.9%43 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4e…b371backed Atlanta Braves59c501.68$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.991020%2 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-69.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Kansas City Royals41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29559150.3%297 W · 294 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Atlanta Braves41c498$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.949241.3%38 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-26.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals43c494.26$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.11,34547.7%642 W · 703 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Atlanta Braves59c452.72$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1115148.3%73 W · 78 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Atlanta Braves58c394.54$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.391,26951.1%648 W · 621 L+23.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals72c369.89$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.536,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Atlanta Braves58c366.74$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.4937747.2%178 W · 199 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1030…dd7abacked Atlanta Braves58c366.74$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.498246.3%38 W · 44 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Kansas City Royals41c365.85$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.853455.9%19 W · 15 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals42c357.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.141,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c50…2de6backed Atlanta Braves59c353$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.2712154.5%66 W · 55 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Atlanta Braves27c346.65$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.599725.8%25 W · 72 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Kansas City Royals73c342.47$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.471637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-39.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Kansas City Royals41c337.99$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.4144643.3%193 W · 253 L+11.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Atlanta Braves60c333.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006958%40 W · 29 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Atlanta Braves61c303.27$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9978146.4%362 W · 419 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39dc…fc23backed Kansas City Royals79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6365651.2%336 W · 320 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5316…1d07backed Kansas City Royals40c299.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.9911647.4%55 W · 61 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Kansas City Royals41c299.97$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.9835245.5%160 W · 192 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves25c292$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.264,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Atlanta Braves60c282$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.25846.6%27 W · 31 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Atlanta Braves45c276.82$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.5755541.4%230 W · 325 L-26.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Atlanta Braves60c272.81$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.333363.6%21 W · 12 L+4.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Atlanta Braves32c266.52$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9554941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Atlanta Braves59c262.71$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15512257.4%70 W · 52 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8381…ef93backed Atlanta Braves60c258.63$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.051154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Atlanta Braves59c251.89$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.6167849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked Kansas City Royals40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028347.3%134 W · 149 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed Kansas City Royals40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Atlanta Braves60c250$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1508847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b45…ac9fbacked Atlanta Braves21c241$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2315243.4%66 W · 86 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x239b…bd0bbacked Kansas City Royals41c238.4$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.71977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+54.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x068c…582ebacked Atlanta Braves60c233.94$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.3738455.2%212 W · 172 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Kansas City Royals40c213.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12825851.9%134 W · 124 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Braves29c185.8$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.321,11349%545 W · 568 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe05f…1fe3backed Kansas City Royals39c178$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.5820351.7%105 W · 98 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf879…820ebacked Kansas City Royals42c176$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.686347.6%30 W · 33 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Kansas City Royals41c173$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0768846.8%322 W · 366 L+9.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b6c…9a83backed Kansas City Royals40c172.5$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.56457.8%37 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Kansas City Royals41c172.42$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.891,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Atlanta Braves59c170.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.412965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc3d8…c0f2backed Atlanta Braves59c170$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.36857.4%39 W · 29 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4342…5797backed Atlanta Braves59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008960.7%54 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.