MLB · resolved market
Angels vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c7ccec4244dd9ee50b665a53252b04199104fc280fd5f8a5f4cd1f7162d7862
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Angels, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,509
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,509 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Guardians | 62c | 32,942$20,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,451.53 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Angels | 38c | 11,538$4,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,384.44 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Angels | 37c | 9,957$3,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.62 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Guardians | 62c | 8,977$5,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,377.74 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Angels | 37c | 6,317$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.73 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Angels | 38c | 6,033$2,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.39 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Angels | 35c | 5,244$1,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,835.49 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Angels | 37c | 3,698$1,368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.41 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Guardians | 64c | 3,136$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.79 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Angels | 36c | 3,029$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.98 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Angels | 38c | 2,126$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.88 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Guardians | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9244…b955backed Angels | 39c | 1,989$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.71 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Angels | 37c | 1,615$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.55 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Angels | 22c | 1,570$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Angels | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Angels | 9c | 1,305$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Angels | 34c | 1,305$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.69 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Angels | 26c | 1,288$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.87 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Angels | 25c | 1,242$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.5 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Angels | 35c | 1,107$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.45 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Guardians | 65c | 1,107$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.45 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Angels | 35c | 1,060$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Angels | 35c | 1,021$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.31 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Angels | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Angels | 2c | 740$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels | 35c | 617.34$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Guardians | 64c | 588.42$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.83 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Angels | 39c | 499.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.98 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Angels | 37c | 475.6$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.86 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Angels | 37c | 364.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Angels | 35c | 363$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.05 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Angels | 4c | 347.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x944a…a9adbacked Angels | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Guardians | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Angels | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Angels | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe965…6559backed Angels | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Angels | 7c | 257$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.99 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 61c | 250.82$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.82 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Angels | 40c | 250.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Angels | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Angels | 13c | 239.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Angels | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Guardians | 60c | 220.75$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Guardians | 66c | 200$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Angels | 8c | 196.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Angels | 33c | 193$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.26 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Angels | 9c | 166.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Angels | 8c | 159.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Angels | 36c | 155.25$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Guardians | 66c | 152$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Angels | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Angels | 15c | 136.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Angels | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Angels | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Angels | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Guardians | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65c8…4b32backed Angels | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Angels | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacaf…abaabacked Guardians | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Angels | 36c | 76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.35 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Angels | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Guardians | 61c | 61.13$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Angels | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1726…3986backed Angels | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa55b…d5ccbacked Angels | 31c | 52.38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc875…70f0backed Guardians | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Angels | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Angels | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Guardians | 72c | 46.18$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Angels | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Guardians | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Angels | 37c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.52 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a8f9backed Guardians | 66c | 34.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Angels | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Guardians | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Angels | 38c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Guardians | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedb0…8de9backed Guardians | 62c | 20.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.97 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.26per pick | 63cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Guardians | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.