Movies · resolved market
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3406fbbeb077c689d3aad53f7806f070b46e0a9ac669ba8be460b3a19d296ce5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,306
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,306 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 54c | 198.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.34 | 79 | 31.6%25 W · 54 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…6e94backed Yes | 43c | 198.17$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c7d…d6ebbacked Yes | 29c | 186.32$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.09 | 329 | 24%79 W · 250 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 30c | 99.37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 36c | 74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 124 | 42.7%53 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 64c | 57.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.59 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…7eedbacked Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68e…5620backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…03cebacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 61c | 27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 482 | 36.3%175 W · 307 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 39c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.47 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1246…785abacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "Gachiakuta" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?this page
- Will "Clevatess" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
- Will "SAKAMOTO DAYS" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
- Will "Takopi's Original Sin" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
- Will "The Fragrant Flower Blooms With Dignity" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
- Will "The Summer Hikaru Died" win Best New Series at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.