Earnings · resolved market
Will DICK'S Sporting Goods (DKS) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f0ff9667bb7018d03eb91100ae6aa85ab11e969a87869caa5ab9b6ba20daf94
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $153,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 25c | 29,546$7,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,320.29 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…61e9backed Yes | 0c | 24,900$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 90 | 16.7%15 W · 75 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 78c | 19,311$14,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,334.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 21c | 6,340$1,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334 | 57 | 19.3%11 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb1…276cbacked No | 78c | 5,686$4,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Yes | 2c | 2,731$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd555…e28abacked No | 5c | 848.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$804.85 | 216 | 39.4%85 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 28c | 699.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7081…bc4ebacked Yes | 77c | 680.85$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…c73dbacked No | 13c | 647.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.64 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…2244backed No | 7c | 593.37$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.07 | 60 | 8.3%5 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…e3e2backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.38per pick | 28cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 9c | 350.9$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.65 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 14c | 299.96$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.97 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…1ed4backed No | 10c | 291.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 9c | 274$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…064fbacked No | 9c | 260.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.35 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed No | 16c | 260$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 330 | 25.2%83 W · 247 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1a…6bccbacked Yes | 77c | 258$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa11b…f663backed Yes | 68c | 219$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…1c8ebacked Yes | 79c | 155$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.65 | 218 | 61%133 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked No | 29c | 145.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +243.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked No | 15c | 122.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 16c | 100$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 13c | 89.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.81 | 579 | 39%226 W · 353 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd0…53b4backed No | 14c | 76.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.48 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa82e…b971backed Yes | 72c | 70.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 17c | 60$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 101 | 32.7%33 W · 68 L | -10.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9df7…36cdbacked Yes | 73c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…5578backed Yes | 50c | 22.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…3527backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 58c | 19.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.