Tweets · resolved market
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e033fb779edbb8f20f92b33ee3601327ce10ba6c3bf3003ba7d5cb7e6a1fea0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked No | 24c | 260.19$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.47 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…9c9dbacked No | 37c | 228.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8257…da02backed No | 9c | 187.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.84 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 15c | 180.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a7b8backed No | 31c | 172.48$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 16c | 108.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f26…1f12backed Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 135 | 17%23 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e50…98f0backed Yes | 64c | 92.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.84 | 330 | 27.9%92 W · 238 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c42…2adcbacked Yes | 70c | 78.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.28per pick | 64cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed Yes | 75c | 67.01$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -5.4wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 18c | 58.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 308 | 54.9%169 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes | 71c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 412 | 20.6%85 W · 327 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…e4dabacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…7163backed Yes | 71c | 42.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2859…26d7backed Yes | 77c | 38.41$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 63cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x062f…aaeabacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b5…0d50backed Yes | 80c | 21.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked Yes | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 145 | 75.9%110 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?this page
- Will Khamenei post 20-24 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No won
- Will Khamenei post 35-39 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No won
- Will Khamenei post 55-59 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.