World Politics · resolved market
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x774c2d693c35b7a07f49e65d6da5007d7728638419079eceeb14e05789298d67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,561
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,002
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,561 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc7f9…e37dbacked Yes | 14c | 6,210$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.25 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…2fe9backed Yes | 30c | 6,083$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 70c | 5,052$3,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,513.3 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae9…5f74backed Yes | 17c | 2,488$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.47 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9a…de87backed Yes | 16c | 1,304$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 12c | 1,243$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.49 | 528 | 50.8%268 W · 260 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd26e…569cbacked Yes | 57c | 795.28$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 60c | 360$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.1 | 360 | 55.3%199 W · 161 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aef…9c6cbacked Yes | 19c | 312.7$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 71c | 220$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…0d1ebacked No | 43c | 200$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x840e…e9bebacked Yes | 25c | 118.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes | 19c | 88.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 32c | 81.32$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +15.2wins | +0.28per pick | 31cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 74c | 79.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 183 | 48.6%89 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 27c | 68.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 24c | 60.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 77c | 44.38$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 71c | 37.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 65c | 37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 168 | 50.6%85 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8862…bbf5backed No | 72c | 24.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cfd…dfe7backed No | 71c | 20.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?this page
- Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by 20% or more?No won
- Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by between 10% and 20%?No won
- Will Choo Kyung-ho win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election by less than 10%?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.