Fifa International · resolved market
Concacaf Gold Cup: Mexico vs. Saudi Arabia (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa98a4061c77d0dd8ad73ebb191687b54cd34f8e522a47a2300c83255c73092
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mexicoof Mexico, Saudi Arabia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Saudi Arabia | 18c | 10,091$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.34 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Saudi Arabia | 22c | 9,084$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.31 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Mexico | 78c | 5,492$4,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.15 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mexico | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +11.7wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Saudi Arabia | 19c | 1,552$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.64 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -8.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…87c1backed Mexico | 77c | 1,523$1,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Saudi Arabia | 21c | 999.98$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Saudi Arabia | 19c | 749.7$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.3 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Saudi Arabia | 23c | 552.17$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Saudi Arabia | 18c | 508.02$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7b…f74ebacked Mexico | 79c | 490$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.23per pick | 53cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Saudi Arabia | 22c | 457.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 38cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Saudi Arabia | 19c | 400$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +55%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Mexico | 77c | 345.66$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.5 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Saudi Arabia | 20c | 303.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Saudi Arabia | 20c | 299.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.82 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Mexico | 79c | 273.87$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.37 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Saudi Arabia | 20c | 265.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Saudi Arabia | 25c | 253$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Saudi Arabia | 20c | 247.53$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.73 | 169 | 46.2%78 W · 91 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Saudi Arabia | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 40.7%37 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Saudi Arabia | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Saudi Arabia | 20c | 199.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Saudi Arabia | 25c | 184.6$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.15 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Mexico | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac8…3efebacked Mexico | 78c | 128.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +276.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Mexico | 78c | 127.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.39 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Mexico | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Mexico | 79c | 98.72$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Saudi Arabia | 22c | 91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f01…4ca2backed Mexico | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Saudi Arabia | 19c | 85.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -13.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Saudi Arabia | 18c | 84.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a9a8backed Mexico | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Mexico | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Mexico | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea62…9918backed Mexico | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…e37cbacked Mexico | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 77cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Saudi Arabia | 22c | 45.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…f9b4backed Mexico | 79c | 41.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Mexico | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Mexico | 78c | 23.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.15 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.