NFL · resolved market
Cowboys vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac3d2326e387c2306d63c323535f2a593dca0389c04d9f920e517c9accc5f081
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cowboysof Cowboys, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,323
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,323 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Cowboys | 63c | 41,450$26,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,129.32 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce36…2b99backed Cardinals | 25c | 20,904$5,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,129 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Cowboys | 76c | 9,446$7,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.47 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cardinals | 48c | 8,000$3,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,849.12 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed Cowboys | 51c | 7,817$3,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,830.48 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Cardinals | 49c | 7,182$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.23 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 47c | 5,343$2,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,499.32 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Cardinals | 30c | 5,299$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.03 | 225 | 50.7%114 W · 111 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Cardinals | 20c | 5,091$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.36 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Cardinals | 41c | 4,674$1,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.02 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Cardinals | 3c | 4,437$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.97 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 1c | 4,300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +413.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Cardinals | 45c | 3,449$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,537.52 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cardinals | 5c | 3,434$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.28 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cardinals | 49c | 2,181$1,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.83 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Cardinals | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Cardinals | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Cowboys | 73c | 1,908$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.15 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Cowboys | 52c | 1,692$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.14 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1b…85c8backed Cardinals | 6c | 1,618$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Cowboys | 55c | 1,550$853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.53 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Cardinals | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.99 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Cowboys | 55c | 1,329$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.24 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Cardinals | 8c | 1,244$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Cardinals | 49c | 1,215$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.14 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…0825backed Cardinals | 25c | 1,168$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.22 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Cardinals | 4c | 1,108$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.11 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Cardinals | 50c | 1,069$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.6 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Cardinals | 50c | 1,003$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.26 | 173 | 50.9%88 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Cowboys | 48c | 946.3$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.08 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9958…b9acbacked Cowboys | 58c | 869.43$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Cardinals | 26c | 820.49$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.54 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cardinals | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cardinals | 47c | 778.17$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.87 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Cardinals | 15c | 700.86$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 119 | 58%69 W · 50 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Cardinals | 50c | 631.28$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.64 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Cardinals | 48c | 624.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.69 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cardinals | 44c | 615.07$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.68 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Cardinals | 47c | 599.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe116…6850backed Cowboys | 55c | 595.24$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Cowboys | 73c | 587$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.49 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Cardinals | 7c | 579.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Cardinals | 18c | 538$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Cardinals | 31c | 520$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1058…01c1backed Cowboys | 55c | 479.36$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a63…5dcebacked Cardinals | 19c | 473.84$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Cowboys | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Cardinals | 22c | 438.9$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.11 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Cardinals | 4c | 424.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Cardinals | 49c | 403.42$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.64 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Cowboys | 57c | 389.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.62 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Cardinals | 28c | 371.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.29 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Cardinals | 48c | 369.01$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.04 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c88…10dfbacked Cardinals | 9c | 335.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdae8…42c1backed Cowboys | 55c | 309.09$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.09 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Cardinals | 50c | 298.44$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.67 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cardinals | 45c | 285.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.46 | 259 | 56.8%147 W · 112 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Cowboys | 79c | 280.41$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Cardinals | 52c | 276$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.14 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Cardinals | 48c | 260.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.06 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Cardinals | 24c | 257.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Cardinals | 48c | 249.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Cardinals | 50c | 248.96$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.48 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x840b…345fbacked Cardinals | 35c | 244.63$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Cardinals | 17c | 240.93$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a6…6673backed Cowboys | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked Cowboys | 58c | 211.14$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Cowboys | 51c | 205.02$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.46 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked Cardinals | 46c | 201.39$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Cardinals | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4604…56f1backed Cardinals | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1443…9e05backed Cowboys | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Cardinals | 22c | 177.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cardinals | 37c | 169.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.99 | 149 | 52.3%78 W · 71 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Cardinals | 49c | 163.94$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Cardinals | 20c | 162.39$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Cardinals | 29c | 161.96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Cardinals | 26c | 143.08$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Cardinals | 45c | 118.29$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Cowboys | 52c | 115.94$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Cowboys | 55c | 99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2a5cbacked Cardinals | 26c | 97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…65ffbacked Cowboys | 51c | 96.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Cowboys | 53c | 95.38$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.83 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Cardinals | 47c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…4524backed Cardinals | 36c | 79.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…543cbacked Cowboys | 63c | 78.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…a0fdbacked Cardinals | 36c | 68.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Cardinals | 23c | 65.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3c…35cfbacked Cardinals | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9714…5152backed Cardinals | 49c | 60.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Cardinals | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Cowboys | 80c | 57.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55aa…ea42backed Cardinals | 46c | 53.19$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…5022backed Cowboys | 77c | 52.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Cardinals | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…ec19backed Cowboys | 51c | 51.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Cardinals | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Cardinals | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Cowboys | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cowboys vs. Cardinalsthis page
- DAL vs. ARI: O/U 37.5Over won
- DAL vs. ARI: O/U 38.5Over won
- Spread: ARI (-1.5)DAL won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.