MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinos
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb90bd1c47515b813da7c84dafd5a99d16740bd6d9a9282c7a53ce3374fbe79ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, NC Dinos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked KT Wiz | 48c | 613.5$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.5 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c36…c001backed KT Wiz | 47c | 534.28$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed NC Dinos | 52c | 503.94$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.65 | 224 | 47.3%106 W · 118 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3061…dd00backed KT Wiz | 49c | 423.54$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.06 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed NC Dinos | 51c | 300$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed NC Dinos | 53c | 238.01$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.05 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked NC Dinos | 53c | 214$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.36 | 1,386 | 50.6%702 W · 684 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed KT Wiz | 46c | 204$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.16 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed NC Dinos | 17c | 193.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NC Dinos | 48c | 146.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed NC Dinos | 51c | 139.38$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.86 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed KT Wiz | 48c | 133.01$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.16 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked KT Wiz | 53c | 98.07$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.57 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed NC Dinos | 37c | 97.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.98 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed KT Wiz | 52c | 96.32$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 1,201 | 49.1%590 W · 611 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…d536backed KT Wiz | 49c | 91.94$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed NC Dinos | 52c | 75.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 2,995 | 47.9%1,435 W · 1,560 L | +12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked KT Wiz | 49c | 64.92$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.87 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed NC Dinos | 51c | 58.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.05 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed NC Dinos | 53c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 895 | 48.3%432 W · 463 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed KT Wiz | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed KT Wiz | 48c | 52.7$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed NC Dinos | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked KT Wiz | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed NC Dinos | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed NC Dinos | 53c | 39.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 838 | 54.7%458 W · 380 L | +29.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70bb…10d3backed NC Dinos | 49c | 38.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 287 | 50.9%146 W · 141 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed NC Dinos | 55c | 36.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed NC Dinos | 52c | 28.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 1,219 | 53.9%657 W · 562 L | +32.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed NC Dinos | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 134 | 38.8%52 W · 82 L | -12.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked NC Dinos | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7a…ebe3backed NC Dinos | 51c | 22.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed NC Dinos | 52c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a0e…cdedbacked NC Dinos | 52c | 20.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.51 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.