NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x49a34359543ab7a0a8d9c9e9c02d1268b7464194197094d0c06ea5c6bdfb1a73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,075,800
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,261,170
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,075,800 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 259 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5427…aac4backed Pelicans | 15c | 130,000$19,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee8…c6f5backed Pelicans | 0c | 60,037$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pelicans | 27c | 43,495$11,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,680.47 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Pelicans | 18c | 31,141$5,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,612.14 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Pelicans | 15c | 31,000$4,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,730 | 200 | 47%94 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Grizzlies | 80c | 18,000$14,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,681 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Pelicans | 15c | 15,000$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pelicans | 18c | 13,511$2,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.4 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Pelicans | 19c | 12,660$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,431.7 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Pelicans | 17c | 12,489$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.13 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbf…2760backed Grizzlies | 72c | 11,387$8,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,134.69 | 319 | 35.1%112 W · 207 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Pelicans | 21c | 11,123$2,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,356.18 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Pelicans | 18c | 10,208$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.72 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 63c | 8,816$5,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,248.8 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Pelicans | 22c | 8,267$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.84 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Pelicans | 20c | 7,199$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.86 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Pelicans | 18c | 7,091$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.52 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0360…7be1backed Pelicans | 17c | 7,065$1,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.88 | 119 | 52.9%63 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Grizzlies | 54c | 6,827$3,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.48 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Pelicans | 18c | 6,610$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189.82 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0560…d77dbacked Pelicans | 16c | 5,970$953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952.7 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Pelicans | 16c | 5,372$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.44 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Grizzlies | 67c | 5,061$3,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,668.41 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Pelicans | 40c | 4,068$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.89 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Pelicans | 17c | 4,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Pelicans | 41c | 3,900$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.98 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pelicans | 7c | 3,698$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.22 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Grizzlies | 74c | 3,352$2,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885.8 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Pelicans | 19c | 3,216$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.89 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Pelicans | 18c | 3,028$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.09 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Pelicans | 17c | 3,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Pelicans | 26c | 2,873$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.82 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Pelicans | 17c | 2,805$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.37 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pelicans | 15c | 2,667$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Pelicans | 1c | 2,650$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Pelicans | 33c | 2,632$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.87 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Pelicans | 9c | 2,600$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pelicans | 34c | 2,542$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Pelicans | 16c | 2,476$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.23 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Pelicans | 18c | 2,250$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.5 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8bf…c049backed Grizzlies | 65c | 2,156$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.01 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1187…cb53backed Pelicans | 21c | 1,894$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.69 | 98 | 36.7%36 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Pelicans | 17c | 1,846$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…95fbbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 1,516$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.81 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed Pelicans | 16c | 1,500$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.92 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pelicans | 40c | 1,500$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Pelicans | 18c | 1,500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 60c | 1,484$891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.25 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Pelicans | 22c | 1,470$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.83 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02c2…5170backed Pelicans | 23c | 1,367$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.58 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pelicans | 19c | 1,348$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.12 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c72…0946backed Pelicans | 15c | 1,295$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.24 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pelicans | 22c | 1,268$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.74 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Grizzlies | 75c | 1,200$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ee…a079backed Grizzlies | 58c | 1,192$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.63 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Pelicans | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 34.5%29 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,153$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.98 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Pelicans | 32c | 1,099$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.1 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Grizzlies | 78c | 1,026$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.64 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pelicans | 14c | 1,000$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.67 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed Pelicans | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 250 | 39.6%99 W · 151 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Pelicans | 3c | 1,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 345 | 24.3%84 W · 261 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Pelicans | 23c | 968.57$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.39 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Pelicans | 25c | 925.96$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.71 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Pelicans | 15c | 899.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Grizzlies | 78c | 894.98$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.98 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Grizzlies | 80c | 877.88$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.69 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Pelicans | 30c | 876.48$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.96 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Pelicans | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Grizzlies | 48c | 824.89$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.89 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Grizzlies | 69c | 804.35$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.35 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Pelicans | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x207a…6fecbacked Grizzlies | 73c | 792.37$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.88 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 79c | 769$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe4f…5241backed Grizzlies | 75c | 756.77$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Grizzlies | 79c | 711.62$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.12 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Grizzlies | 77c | 680.99$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.63 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Grizzlies | 80c | 671.17$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d80…219abacked Grizzlies | 79c | 640.49$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.49 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Pelicans | 16c | 619$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Pelicans | 14c | 615.93$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.56 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b3d…8ed3backed Grizzlies | 60c | 603.55$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.53 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Pelicans | 15c | 600$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Grizzlies | 74c | 541.93$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pelicans | 35c | 532.44$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.13 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Pelicans | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Grizzlies | 80c | 520.63$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.92 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Pelicans | 30c | 515.68$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.98 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Pelicans | 17c | 513.97$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.41 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Grizzlies | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4a…2215backed Grizzlies | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 198 | 38.9%77 W · 121 L | -13.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Grizzlies | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…15eabacked Pelicans | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Grizzlies | 59c | 450$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.5 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cd…0516backed Grizzlies | 68c | 436.54$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.67 | 398 | 43.5%173 W · 225 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…17c5backed Pelicans | 34c | 429.42$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Pelicans | 19c | 421.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 235 | 39.1%92 W · 143 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Grizzlies | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 191 | 45.5%87 W · 104 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…85f9backed Pelicans | 17c | 415.29$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 161 | 25.5%41 W · 120 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Grizzlies | 48c | 415.1$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.1 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.