Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Francis (PA) vs. Alabama State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfb3c3f8a842292983a0cbe37bc63d0fc198f11c18bbd74c164b707626d0bfb2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Stateof St. Francis (PA), Alabama State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $601,943
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $600,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $601,943 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3078…3e11backed St. Francis (PA) | 43c | 46,342$20,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,149.98 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed St. Francis (PA) | 34c | 22,594$7,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,707.12 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed St. Francis (PA) | 16c | 12,016$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.49 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked St. Francis (PA) | 23c | 8,927$2,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.44 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Alabama State | 59c | 7,002$4,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.71 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe81…5fe9backed Alabama State | 41c | 5,343$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,162.03 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked St. Francis (PA) | 37c | 3,283$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.66 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Alabama State | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,174.6 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed St. Francis (PA) | 38c | 3,006$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.01 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked St. Francis (PA) | 39c | 2,386$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.44 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Alabama State | 62c | 2,123$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.64 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed St. Francis (PA) | 36c | 2,092$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.26 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Alabama State | 62c | 1,514$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.1 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Alabama State | 63c | 1,511$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$558.95 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Alabama State | 61c | 1,488$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.44 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Alabama State | 61c | 1,190$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.29 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked St. Francis (PA) | 35c | 1,105$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.37 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked St. Francis (PA) | 38c | 1,011$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.51 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed St. Francis (PA) | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 70 | 21.4%15 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -39%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Alabama State | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked St. Francis (PA) | 37c | 793.85$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.72 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef9…35cfbacked St. Francis (PA) | 42c | 676.26$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.77 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked St. Francis (PA) | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 139 | 36.7%51 W · 88 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Alabama State | 62c | 466.57$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.3 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee5…10c7backed St. Francis (PA) | 44c | 461.1$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…f8c4backed St. Francis (PA) | 64c | 405$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.85 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked St. Francis (PA) | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked St. Francis (PA) | 24c | 348.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.58 | 399 | 3.3%13 W · 386 L | -21.0wins | -0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -89.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6650…d38ebacked St. Francis (PA) | 37c | 270.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed St. Francis (PA) | 37c | 270$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked St. Francis (PA) | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed St. Francis (PA) | 41c | 251$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | -12.1wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…7726backed St. Francis (PA) | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab9…3f5fbacked Alabama State | 63c | 244.44$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Alabama State | 63c | 231$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…913ebacked Alabama State | 62c | 160.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Alabama State | 63c | 158.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.48 | 84 | 63.1%53 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed St. Francis (PA) | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked St. Francis (PA) | 38c | 145$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed St. Francis (PA) | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked St. Francis (PA) | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Alabama State | 53c | 93.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.67 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Alabama State | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed St. Francis (PA) | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…3476backed Alabama State | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed St. Francis (PA) | 45c | 46.03$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Alabama State | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Alabama State | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Alabama State | 63c | 37.3$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…227dbacked Alabama State | 78c | 32.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.15 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1615…a6afbacked Alabama State | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Alabama State | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…baa2backed Alabama State | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.