Tennis · resolved market
Qatar Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Jannik Sinner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x651145bb4525f9d79856e521e0861f2641539e595394249b6e1a22d2dde47943
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Popyrin, Sinner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $309,798
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $279,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,798 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Popyrin | 0c | 52,858$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Popyrin | 3c | 42,468$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.59 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Popyrin | 2c | 10,527$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.32 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Popyrin | 2c | 10,432$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.3 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Popyrin | 3c | 9,008$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.25 | 139 | 34.5%48 W · 91 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2727…eef4backed Popyrin | 3c | 8,873$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.17 | 191 | 34%65 W · 126 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Popyrin | 2c | 7,943$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.52 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Popyrin | 3c | 7,407$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Popyrin | 3c | 6,942$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.18 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Popyrin | 2c | 5,830$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.18 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Popyrin | 4c | 4,000$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.6 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Popyrin | 2c | 3,694$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.17 | 6,798 | 36.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked Popyrin | 2c | 3,680$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 80 | 31.3%25 W · 55 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…3314backed Popyrin | 3c | 3,518$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Popyrin | 3c | 3,327$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.45 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c98…6f55backed Popyrin | 3c | 3,099$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.74 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Popyrin | 3c | 3,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1,449 | 28.4%412 W · 1,037 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe71e…8e58backed Popyrin | 4c | 2,277$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Popyrin | 2c | 2,244$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.16 | 142 | 25.4%36 W · 106 L | -10.2wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Popyrin | 2c | 2,110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Popyrin | 3c | 2,047$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.31 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Popyrin | 3c | 1,544$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Popyrin | 3c | 1,419$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -36%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Popyrin | 2c | 1,192$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Popyrin | 4c | 1,091$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb78…e7c8backed Popyrin | 3c | 1,050$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Popyrin | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 407 | 44%179 W · 228 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Popyrin | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Popyrin | 2c | 982$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Popyrin | 3c | 799.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5701…f43dbacked Popyrin | 4c | 774.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Popyrin | 3c | 768.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 189 | 32.3%61 W · 128 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef0…a376backed Popyrin | 3c | 749.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…f66ebacked Popyrin | 2c | 715.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +85%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Popyrin | 2c | 653.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Popyrin | 4c | 628.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Popyrin | 3c | 599.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 3,891 | 35%1,362 W · 2,529 L | +93.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Popyrin | 4c | 542.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Popyrin | 3c | 523.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 1,207 | 8%96 W · 1,111 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80c1…91a3backed Popyrin | 2c | 509.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Popyrin | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | -25.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Popyrin | 3c | 491.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Popyrin | 3c | 471.84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 1,694 | 50.5%856 W · 838 L | +13.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Popyrin | 3c | 464$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1382…7820backed Popyrin | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3d…34e5backed Popyrin | 3c | 377.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Popyrin | 3c | 340.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Popyrin | 3c | 335.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Popyrin | 4c | 303.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 444 | 29.7%132 W · 312 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Popyrin | 4c | 290$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe541…ae5fbacked Popyrin | 4c | 275$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Popyrin | 4c | 250.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qatar Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Jannik Sinnerthis page
- Popyrin vs. Sinner: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Popyrin vs. Sinner: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Popyrin vs. Sinner: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Popyrin vs SinnerSinner won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.