CS2 · resolved market
Will Team Spirit make CS2 EWC Grand finals?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3923ea16712a84b47cbed67b7f9eb715f4c99ba0985f2ca2db639627505bbd34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,636
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,888
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,636 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 26c | 606.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.21 | 249 | 43.8%109 W · 140 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed No | 67c | 255$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.85 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…be40backed Yes | 74c | 120.42$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe74…a70ebacked No | 72c | 120$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52c5…5878backed No | 71c | 106.01$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 143 | 46.2%66 W · 77 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f4…9d7fbacked No | 78c | 102$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed No | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6be…a0f3backed Yes | 42c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.05 | 104 | 49%51 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45e6…c078backed No | 57c | 65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…1de3backed No | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafa4…0dfebacked No | 63c | 56.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 52c | 52.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed No | 78c | 49.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.82 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…9761backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3a…cdddbacked No | 79c | 40$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 70cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…32c3backed No | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc4…f3dabacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…0a64backed No | 79c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32c5…adc9backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 66cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 72c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 141 | 42.6%60 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Team Spirit make CS2 EWC Grand finals?this page
- Will FURIA make CS2 EWC Grand finals?No won
- Will FaZe Clan make CS2 EWC Grand finals?No won
- Will MOUZ make CS2 EWC Grand finals?No won
- Will Natus Vincere make CS2 EWC Grand finals?No won
- Will Team Falcons make CS2 EWC Grand finals?No won
- Will Team Vitality make CS2 EWC Grand finals?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.