Lol · resolved market
Will Karmine Corp win LEC 2026 Spring?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5243d38b5170685af3bc8a761a3487d548fdfca888ff74aab7d376f3ace75f89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,690
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 77c | 1,366$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.24 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 35c | 1,101$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.33 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed No | 64c | 738.01$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.69 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf580…8d66backed Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…870bbacked Yes | 22c | 431.82$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Yes | 27c | 311.25$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.66 | 55 | 29.1%16 W · 39 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 34c | 295.44$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.9 | 181 | 21%38 W · 143 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Yes | 38c | 255.4$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.26 | 227 | 41%93 W · 134 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed Yes | 8c | 249.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf87…8ee1backed Yes | 15c | 226.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5d…57d3backed Yes | 21c | 206.01$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3e…94cebacked Yes | 20c | 204.06$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 7c | 198.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 58 | 13.8%8 W · 50 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +154%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 36c | 191.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.36 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae6…ab69backed Yes | 31c | 177.52$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 542 | 46.3%251 W · 291 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…31a4backed No | 62c | 163.32$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 66c | 155.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 67c | 150.14$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39aa…583cbacked Yes | 37c | 141.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.05 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Yes | 35c | 137.32$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.05 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…fb44backed Yes | 43c | 134.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4c…d5dbbacked Yes | 31c | 125$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 116 | 58.6%68 W · 48 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…4359backed Yes | 22c | 120.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 36c | 120$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.26per pick | 49cpaid | -70%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e22…4cbdbacked Yes | 22c | 117.05$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes | 42c | 114.9$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.26 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 36c | 110$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Yes | 27c | 109.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7299…3fe2backed Yes | 19c | 106.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -7.7wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf352…1a01backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd11f…48a6backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc304…d362backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 94.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d12…39c8backed Yes | 22c | 92.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 73c | 90.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 67c | 87$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.69 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x281f…544cbacked Yes | 22c | 84.31$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 78c | 83.55$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ef…7102backed Yes | 31c | 78.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…7724backed Yes | 27c | 76.88$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f2…38efbacked Yes | 40c | 65.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ed…8205backed Yes | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 56.58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.66 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c58…b1d3backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…141abacked Yes | 22c | 54.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…8de9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae49…4623backed Yes | 32c | 48.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba48…907cbacked Yes | 23c | 43.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 981 | 63.8%626 W · 355 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 69c | 43.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972c…c0aabacked No | 62c | 39.54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 69c | 37.46$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed No | 57c | 33.23$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 30.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 63c | 26.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 373 | 43.4%162 W · 211 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 76c | 22.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…4983backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec4…cfc8backed No | 60c | 18.26$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6714…fad2backed No | 63c | 18.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…f3ebbacked No | 79c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Karmine Corp win LEC 2026 Spring?this page
- Will Fnatic win LEC 2026 Spring?No won
- Will G2 Esports win LEC 2026 Spring?Yes won
- Will GIANTX win LEC 2026 Spring?No won
- Will Movistar KOI win LEC 2026 Spring?No won
- Will Team Vitality win LEC 2026 Spring?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.