Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas State vs. South Alabama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57fd45be810f9b87577e38877aede143d97790cd652e0658a75872b2909b5c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabamaof Texas State, South Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed South Alabama | 72c | 840$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.2 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Texas State | 28c | 840$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Texas State | 39c | 705.04$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.59 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed South Alabama | 60c | 690$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed South Alabama | 66c | 120$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.63 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d3…b770backed Texas State | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7127…8b72backed South Alabama | 50c | 89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7b…dec8backed Texas State | 50c | 88$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501d…ccd1backed South Alabama | 50c | 71$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x794a…19c1backed South Alabama | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf682…78eebacked Texas State | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45c…c8bebacked Texas State | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…3342backed South Alabama | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 72cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ad…5ef6backed South Alabama | 72c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eab…df8bbacked South Alabama | 71c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7014…88ddbacked South Alabama | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.