Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
St. Bonaventure vs. Massachusetts
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d126faa8dc923007d0ca53e4e6b542e3f1118d9230f5c0acf2fbbe23a9129db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Bonaventureof St. Bonaventure, Massachusetts
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,728
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked St. Bonaventure | 46c | 1,299$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700.27 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Massachusetts | 54c | 684.72$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.75 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Massachusetts | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9fa…ba0abacked Massachusetts | 54c | 236$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.44 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…0e96backed St. Bonaventure | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aec…0f2dbacked Massachusetts | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked St. Bonaventure | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.7wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked St. Bonaventure | 45c | 96$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.97 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6e…565bbacked St. Bonaventure | 46c | 95$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Massachusetts | 54c | 79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba0…fd43backed St. Bonaventure | 46c | 79$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b2…f12fbacked St. Bonaventure | 41c | 71$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b0…55c3backed Massachusetts | 59c | 71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d89…2fb7backed St. Bonaventure | 46c | 62$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf93…bdc8backed St. Bonaventure | 69c | 49.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 67 | 67.2%45 W · 22 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…8794backed Massachusetts | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Massachusetts | 44c | 45.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6d…013ebacked Massachusetts | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…9a74backed Massachusetts | 63c | 43$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…1de8backed Massachusetts | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…7743backed St. Bonaventure | 38c | 42$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3430…8852backed St. Bonaventure | 46c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Massachusetts | 62c | 32.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff5…eb2fbacked St. Bonaventure | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44db…10fcbacked Massachusetts | 62c | 27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x242f…b0b7backed St. Bonaventure | 49c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d63…258ebacked Massachusetts | 54c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be0…a614backed St. Bonaventure | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa247…c87dbacked St. Bonaventure | 46c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb318…4e77backed Massachusetts | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73e0…ba4bbacked St. Bonaventure | 46c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7593…68d5backed Massachusetts | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d1…ec1abacked Massachusetts | 54c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…4425backed St. Bonaventure | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x177e…6ea3backed Massachusetts | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +129%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560a…6db9backed Massachusetts | 58c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.