Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Albany vs. UMass Lowell
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c0b92576429d5bf17b10a2778fbcb80d91248884bcdcc2c392a6ba0ed483cc8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Albanyof Albany, UMass Lowell
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,852
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,908
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,852 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa821…26a9backed UMass Lowell | 1c | 1,197$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba8…bdcfbacked UMass Lowell | 2c | 628.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked UMass Lowell | 67c | 366.88$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.81 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Albany | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103a…8d1abacked Albany | 33c | 198$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +151.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Albany | 41c | 90.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.43 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed UMass Lowell | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e3…08ccbacked Albany | 32c | 76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97dd…76cdbacked UMass Lowell | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Albany | 30c | 72.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.67 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Albany | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…a15abacked UMass Lowell | 56c | 52.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…07c9backed UMass Lowell | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfa…6c4dbacked Albany | 32c | 43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…c6e3backed UMass Lowell | 68c | 43$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1b…00dfbacked UMass Lowell | 67c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…f5d2backed UMass Lowell | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba4b…aae0backed UMass Lowell | 67c | 32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5d…b6f0backed Albany | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x770f…d3f4backed UMass Lowell | 67c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…fa22backed UMass Lowell | 67c | 22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…2281backed UMass Lowell | 64c | 17.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5294…a9a9backed UMass Lowell | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb90d…77cbbacked UMass Lowell | 70c | 16.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa808…0defbacked UMass Lowell | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…9925backed UMass Lowell | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.