Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marshall vs. South Alabama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe36a52b0a223af3da0aae0a79d1bf0d1e4d3cfeadf9d20e8d1faccd7055e25a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Alabamaof Marshall, South Alabama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,158
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,599
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,158 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Marshall | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Marshall | 33c | 408$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.64 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed South Alabama | 67c | 400$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613c…8044backed South Alabama | 50c | 162$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d3…0de3backed Marshall | 50c | 162$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e21…91f1backed South Alabama | 50c | 141$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe26d…baf6backed Marshall | 50c | 141$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…5c3fbacked South Alabama | 64c | 134$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa749…c9c3backed South Alabama | 64c | 92$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2385…1abdbacked South Alabama | 51c | 77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…9b74backed South Alabama | 64c | 68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa713…8f8cbacked Marshall | 36c | 64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…dfb0backed Marshall | 36c | 56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…df7ebacked Marshall | 49c | 54$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x398b…96edbacked Marshall | 36c | 53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1371…32f5backed Marshall | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…f77ebacked Marshall | 36c | 47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d17…fb67backed Marshall | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc0…f745backed Marshall | 36c | 46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb910…284ebacked South Alabama | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 67cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e0…44dcbacked Marshall | 36c | 39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133e…8383backed South Alabama | 51c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…1cf6backed Marshall | 49c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a76…1c13backed Marshall | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dbe…c800backed South Alabama | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x957a…43b8backed Marshall | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e6…ab0bbacked Marshall | 49c | 33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3c…ddd9backed South Alabama | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x861b…7853backed Marshall | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.29per pick | 57cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed South Alabama | 69c | 29.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 247 | 59.5%147 W · 100 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511c…667dbacked South Alabama | 64c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed South Alabama | 68c | 27.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf35d…0a78backed South Alabama | 64c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda46…0b85backed South Alabama | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…9c77backed South Alabama | 64c | 26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…17b4backed Marshall | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7953…e79abacked South Alabama | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…2679backed Marshall | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…19bfbacked Marshall | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…bd39backed South Alabama | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…95b2backed Marshall | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e45…dae3backed South Alabama | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…43a1backed Marshall | 49c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…b373backed South Alabama | 64c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked South Alabama | 64c | 22.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…f3ffbacked Marshall | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d60…d6adbacked South Alabama | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f18…8446backed South Alabama | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc469…9ff6backed Marshall | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4253…e2acbacked South Alabama | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…93f5backed Marshall | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd9…e3aabacked Marshall | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f26…0527backed South Alabama | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8b…8a7ebacked South Alabama | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…b6f1backed Marshall | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…ecc5backed South Alabama | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc04…bfd0backed Marshall | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…3516backed South Alabama | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.