Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida vs. Mississippi State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e9ec680514603eb53853fa6889cbe12d2b01795baa1bc6b996ca30036cc3f76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Floridaof Florida, Mississippi State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Mississippi State | 51c | 3,635$1,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861.58 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Mississippi State | 31c | 2,784$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.55 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Florida | 52c | 2,671$1,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.08 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Florida | 49c | 1,700$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.75 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Florida | 44c | 1,591$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.23 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked Mississippi State | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Florida | 45c | 1,000$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.57 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1af…d23bbacked Florida | 75c | 936.83$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.15 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Florida | 50c | 761.41$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.56 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Mississippi State | 55c | 544$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mississippi State | 53c | 407.77$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Mississippi State | 53c | 254$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bd…50d2backed Florida | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Florida | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Mississippi State | 52c | 185$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…282dbacked Florida | 53c | 79$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…425fbacked Mississippi State | 47c | 79$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1646…f71abacked Florida | 50c | 74$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…bd80backed Mississippi State | 50c | 74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1b…c5f9backed Mississippi State | 75c | 61$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.38per pick | 52cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa721…fc08backed Mississippi State | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…6600backed Florida | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Mississippi State | 30c | 53.7$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe311…ccd1backed Mississippi State | 50c | 51$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…fffebacked Florida | 53c | 49$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa51…6075backed Mississippi State | 47c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…d1dabacked Mississippi State | 52c | 48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc31…c060backed Florida | 48c | 48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.96 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3e…0601backed Florida | 47c | 47$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 53cpaid | +91%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc043…d0d7backed Mississippi State | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c7…e328backed Mississippi State | 50c | 44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…4831backed Florida | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e22…93cfbacked Mississippi State | 53c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…e928backed Florida | 47c | 44$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf813…163cbacked Florida | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa9f…c7c0backed Mississippi State | 47c | 41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e21…0631backed Florida | 53c | 41$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…c88cbacked Florida | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf21a…08a2backed Florida | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…1baebacked Mississippi State | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fcc…a870backed Mississippi State | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe82f…b3e0backed Florida | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9d…445cbacked Mississippi State | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…8a51backed Florida | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5174…ea6cbacked Mississippi State | 52c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9c…8862backed Florida | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa013…994cbacked Mississippi State | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Mississippi State | 43c | 30.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde72…d577backed Florida | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…ee00backed Mississippi State | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa39b…5dddbacked Mississippi State | 53c | 28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe53c…14aabacked Florida | 50c | 28$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Mississippi State | 48c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd193…5514backed Florida | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9e…dd4cbacked Mississippi State | 53c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c29…baf7backed Florida | 47c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x504d…5dc2backed Mississippi State | 67c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…7ad7backed Florida | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb27b…f4adbacked Florida | 50c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +172.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb389…55aabacked Mississippi State | 53c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a2…6c31backed Mississippi State | 50c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e30…a12cbacked Mississippi State | 78c | 19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3927…708ebacked Mississippi State | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…451ebacked Mississippi State | 68c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2786…b734backed Mississippi State | 69c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f61…ab17backed Mississippi State | 68c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.