Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Grambling State vs. Alabama A&M
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x953d6188457e5b8118951dadb9b24060aec7f1bac0026c99fbde4fb024a07538
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grambling Stateof Grambling State, Alabama A&M
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Grambling State | 58c | 1,150$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Grambling State | 61c | 980$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Alabama A&M | 39c | 960$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Alabama A&M | 42c | 605$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Alabama A&M | 39c | 349.97$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.83 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Alabama A&M | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf785…05edbacked Grambling State | 78c | 119.99$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea4c…f2fdbacked Grambling State | 50c | 65$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e5…e4cfbacked Alabama A&M | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…1462backed Grambling State | 50c | 54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cf…f7f4backed Alabama A&M | 50c | 54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf663…2535backed Grambling State | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…7fe3backed Alabama A&M | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…7627backed Alabama A&M | 50c | 46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa201…8922backed Grambling State | 50c | 44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceaa…396fbacked Alabama A&M | 51c | 43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Alabama A&M | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa57f…77a9backed Alabama A&M | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04c5…cabcbacked Grambling State | 50c | 39$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x409a…da04backed Grambling State | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9901…baacbacked Grambling State | 49c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ba…dc89backed Alabama A&M | 50c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1de5…dccdbacked Alabama A&M | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a0…4831backed Alabama A&M | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…cf88backed Alabama A&M | 50c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74e…89c4backed Alabama A&M | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7796…e517backed Alabama A&M | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1a…f060backed Grambling State | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c97…362cbacked Grambling State | 50c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…2100backed Grambling State | 49c | 26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…df05backed Grambling State | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3940…4426backed Alabama A&M | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0f…66d7backed Grambling State | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…a152backed Grambling State | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe35a…7910backed Alabama A&M | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7d…701dbacked Grambling State | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +45.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…625cbacked Alabama A&M | 50c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…8ddabacked Grambling State | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…4023backed Grambling State | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.