Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Loyola Chicago vs. Richmond
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7d2e3084ed865b0ac3dbeb5577a0599c958224c8deaf384b362c7e30c76e2b3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Loyola Chicagoof Loyola Chicago, Richmond
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Loyola Chicago | 70c | 3,498$2,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.78 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Richmond | 37c | 888.13$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.85 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Richmond | 27c | 678.52$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.76 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Richmond | 36c | 278.47$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b9…04acbacked Loyola Chicago | 44c | 91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50fb…d80cbacked Richmond | 56c | 91$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Loyola Chicago | 64c | 89.55$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111e…b2cbbacked Loyola Chicago | 50c | 87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…5217backed Richmond | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Loyola Chicago | 65c | 49.75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39cc…0cd2backed Loyola Chicago | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2686…7a67backed Loyola Chicago | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Loyola Chicago | 28c | 41.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.86 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac2…917ebacked Richmond | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c73…2713backed Richmond | 73c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97dd…76cdbacked Loyola Chicago | 43c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6448…921ebacked Loyola Chicago | 50c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +78.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f71…ae15backed Loyola Chicago | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0238…64a6backed Richmond | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6341…5b26backed Richmond | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x120b…07c9backed Richmond | 74c | 28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f8…76abbacked Richmond | 50c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…7fffbacked Richmond | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…bc49backed Richmond | 57c | 22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51cb…6fa5backed Richmond | 56c | 22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x947d…2a2abacked Loyola Chicago | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cda…d670backed Richmond | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434b…e08ebacked Richmond | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3a…269bbacked Richmond | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6b…8594backed Richmond | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ae…60c4backed Richmond | 64c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf290…efb9backed Richmond | 74c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4208…abefbacked Richmond | 56c | 18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7e…5524backed Richmond | 62c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x801b…7e11backed Richmond | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0e…b1febacked Richmond | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 63cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fd…0c29backed Richmond | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.