Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Howard vs. MD Eastern Shore
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc55d3188ec7c5f845592a5bd405b5bafb6d3832b728556d1e4ad37e3837c9bf3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Howardof Howard, MD Eastern Shore
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,589
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,589 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Howard | 76c | 3,085$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked MD Eastern Shore | 24c | 3,065$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.6 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Howard | 66c | 348.81$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.29 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed MD Eastern Shore | 29c | 345.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed MD Eastern Shore | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc3…b736backed MD Eastern Shore | 53c | 62$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdd…425fbacked Howard | 49c | 58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…724cbacked MD Eastern Shore | 51c | 58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ca…54b2backed MD Eastern Shore | 51c | 53$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2e…515cbacked Howard | 49c | 53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e72…2cf1backed MD Eastern Shore | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2491…bd80backed Howard | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefc4…f39bbacked MD Eastern Shore | 29c | 46$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b4…4f8cbacked Howard | 71c | 46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e4…183ebacked Howard | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d8…8507backed MD Eastern Shore | 51c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc141…18ddbacked Howard | 48c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…5cdfbacked Howard | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…f84ebacked MD Eastern Shore | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…9864backed Howard | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…7947backed MD Eastern Shore | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…ba9fbacked Howard | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434b…e08ebacked Howard | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…1f61backed Howard | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…da1bbacked MD Eastern Shore | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa6…bc49backed MD Eastern Shore | 51c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d8…ea40backed Howard | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3975…626abacked Howard | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5538…8bcfbacked Howard | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd78…3a0fbacked Howard | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…940cbacked Howard | 72c | 14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.