Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Northwestern State vs. Nicholls State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfa58bd4014f5fd03af20a47f2b7c096140ca32b28122216805a4fa353d181b82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northwestern Stateof Northwestern State, Nicholls State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Nicholls State | 72c | 902.3$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.05 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Northwestern State | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Northwestern State | 29c | 552.73$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +241.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Nicholls State | 71c | 530$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.3 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Northwestern State | 29c | 345.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.69 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Nicholls State | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2625…0086backed Northwestern State | 29c | 41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +244.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee21…8416backed Nicholls State | 71c | 41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf091…a187backed Nicholls State | 71c | 36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…7299backed Northwestern State | 29c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +117.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Nicholls State | 72c | 21.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.39 | 605 | 51.4%311 W · 294 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…ab85backed Nicholls State | 70c | 19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865d…a094backed Nicholls State | 70c | 18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf547…e1c8backed Nicholls State | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d19…cfeabacked Nicholls State | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf65a…2482backed Nicholls State | 70c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…f5acbacked Nicholls State | 71c | 16$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…6e06backed Nicholls State | 74c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab94…3defbacked Nicholls State | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cb…5a3abacked Nicholls State | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…566bbacked Nicholls State | 74c | 14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.