Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ohio vs. Bowling Green
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd77c6a4031108b66ad5eb657a3d0c0390783cfb87ef072f3d41aca7a017e8a74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ohioof Ohio, Bowling Green
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bowling Green | 47c | 2,692$1,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,278.04 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Ohio | 54c | 2,339$1,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.72 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bowling Green | 36c | 599.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.61 | 283 | 35%99 W · 184 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Ohio | 65c | 460$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x193d…2eb4backed Ohio | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Ohio | 65c | 84.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.74 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44af…c7ddbacked Ohio | 66c | 68.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…42a2backed Bowling Green | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2500…282dbacked Bowling Green | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4516…2dc0backed Ohio | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3a…265ebacked Bowling Green | 64c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5d…fc88backed Bowling Green | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdc…4cdfbacked Bowling Green | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19da…6c55backed Bowling Green | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd29e…63a1backed Bowling Green | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe551…1365backed Bowling Green | 62c | 19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb318…4e77backed Bowling Green | 62c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…1e81backed Bowling Green | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.