Us Politics · resolved market
Congress passes funding bill before Trump inauguration?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9543218f2d765050c8b0cbe2f3b42e0011bd8a220d45abec65b5ed4756b769bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef86…25d0backed No | 3c | 12,069$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked Yes | 76c | 9,820$7,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,356.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf7e…f146backed No | 17c | 9,419$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b73…4766backed No | 9c | 6,539$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.3 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 78c | 4,984$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,089.4 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e7…06febacked No | 24c | 4,944$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…1b90backed No | 16c | 4,300$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.05 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 21cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed No | 4c | 3,280$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.18 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 24c | 1,433$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.98 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked Yes | 77c | 1,250$963 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.5 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 11c | 1,240$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.52 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa850…e2f8backed No | 19c | 999.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +76.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked No | 9c | 999$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.91 | 69 | 21.7%15 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 10c | 931.81$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.03 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x126f…7137backed Yes | 77c | 799.99$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ba…eea1backed No | 15c | 655.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 17c | 580$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.55 | 167 | 25.1%42 W · 125 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4b…52c4backed No | 8c | 519.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x888f…8cf9backed No | 8c | 519.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f2…7851backed No | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3495…b2a6backed No | 8c | 490.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed No | 9c | 441.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4194…c107backed No | 24c | 290.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09e2…29debacked Yes | 78c | 267.79$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…0029backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…cc13backed No | 23c | 256.39$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46c7…c0f2backed No | 20c | 253.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8df…5950backed No | 24c | 252$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d3…4e5ebacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 77c | 213.08$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.27 | 100 | 7%7 W · 93 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed No | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 25.8%17 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…e291backed No | 9c | 203.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed No | 9c | 199.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91b7…7fb0backed No | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 11c | 126.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a26…9d2fbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd635…b9ffbacked No | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…8c37backed No | 17c | 121.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f2…8ac6backed No | 13c | 114.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed No | 16c | 112.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 173 | 55.5%96 W · 77 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…28a3backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebd…1b73backed Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…145bbacked Yes | 77c | 45.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b3…acaabacked Yes | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…614dbacked Yes | 79c | 44.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.37 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c71…14a4backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Yes | 80c | 37$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fb…31cdbacked Yes | 77c | 36.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +90.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4647…5bd9backed Yes | 77c | 35.82$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e17…9944backed Yes | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb500…9c3dbacked Yes | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -57%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf007…10b4backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…aa53backed Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b34…b5b5backed Yes | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.