Ukraine · resolved market
Will Ukraine control Demidovka on March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd944efcb1574e6bce7e3b15ad4881bd68e166c29c050a5bf85e38f7ccdeb0418
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,009
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed Yes | 29c | 7,836$2,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,302.68 | 242 | 58.7%142 W · 100 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…f6ecbacked Yes | 30c | 3,628$1,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,106.25 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 76c | 3,277$2,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.49 | 60 | 33.3%20 W · 40 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e26…336cbacked No | 69c | 3,131$2,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.04 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 2,769$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.97 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Yes | 13c | 2,373$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 45c | 2,106$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.37 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 17c | 2,067$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.62 | 91 | 15.4%14 W · 77 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb05…12f8backed No | 63c | 2,051$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.5 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 45cpaid | +84%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9833…7844backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c29…d822backed Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 106 | 25.5%27 W · 79 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…621abacked No | 78c | 1,662$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed Yes | 79c | 1,292$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.27 | 144 | 56.9%82 W · 62 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfad4…a210backed No | 38c | 1,255$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.24 | 134 | 29.9%40 W · 94 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 1,191$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.1 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…dd1ebacked No | 68c | 1,165$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.95 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed Yes | 54c | 1,100$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9e…518ebacked Yes | 20c | 1,090$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 99 | 62.6%62 W · 37 L | +12.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc80…2bc1backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ad…ff58backed No | 55c | 980.16$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.89 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ae…52edbacked Yes | 18c | 965.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…dc8abacked Yes | 4c | 900$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcca8…9779backed Yes | 4c | 900$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 32c | 899.97$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 43c | 864.4$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.39 | 102 | 41.2%42 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 16c | 814.77$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.49 | 112 | 25.9%29 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda2a…2f33backed Yes | 14c | 730.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 17c | 729.87$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.28 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -59.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a79…8e05backed Yes | 51c | 729.18$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.26 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 8c | 657.45$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.11 | 41 | 9.8%4 W · 37 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffb0…fa37backed Yes | 44c | 597.91$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cc…dea4backed No | 53c | 546.11$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.76 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…35d5backed Yes | 6c | 505$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 89 | 27%24 W · 65 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…159cbacked No | 45c | 467.07$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.07 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6512…5291backed No | 39c | 421.74$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.74 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfade…283bbacked No | 50c | 403.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 45c | 400$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…4228backed Yes | 8c | 383.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +7.0wins | +0.28per pick | 40cpaid | +219.4%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 9c | 379.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.32 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…dbcabacked No | 78c | 370.01$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.6 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 68c | 352.78$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.02 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6704…d171backed Yes | 31c | 344.37$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Yes | 10c | 339.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e2…2f3ebacked Yes | 10c | 316.14$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 307.8$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.94 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47cc…e2a5backed No | 43c | 291.82$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d85…c1b8backed Yes | 45c | 289.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.16 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6264…9937backed Yes | 38c | 249.24$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -5.1wins | -0.22per pick | 53cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…d249backed Yes | 31c | 248.95$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.58 | 68 | 30.9%21 W · 47 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…f9dbbacked Yes | 23c | 248.49$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed Yes | 30c | 236.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.91 | 154 | 51.3%79 W · 75 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe431…4363backed Yes | 45c | 220.09$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 40c | 208.18$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.99 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad73…a0ffbacked Yes | 75c | 206.27$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb612…c6b0backed Yes | 65c | 200$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 71c | 199.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.99 | 97 | 34%33 W · 64 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6477…707dbacked Yes | 43c | 172.5$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.27 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf1…3c6bbacked No | 66c | 166.59$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked No | 69c | 151.49$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8196…ab69backed Yes | 76c | 150$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.7 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbe…c93cbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…c585backed Yes | 8c | 136.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa26f…9cefbacked Yes | 39c | 130$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7b…d06fbacked Yes | 16c | 126.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 67c | 126.82$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.57 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 12c | 118.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 394 | 29.4%116 W · 278 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed Yes | 24c | 116.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…1036backed Yes | 42c | 115.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78da…e609backed Yes | 54c | 109.4$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.03 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…bbdebacked Yes | 32c | 102.81$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87d0…57c5backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +26%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x427c…17b7backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6390…5ee8backed No | 80c | 99.71$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.94 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…bfaebacked Yes | 40c | 93.28$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked Yes | 32c | 80.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a07…2de1backed Yes | 43c | 79.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…67bcbacked No | 64c | 76.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf130…88ddbacked No | 58c | 70.69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…0ab0backed No | 74c | 70.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…d029backed No | 43c | 69.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…e38fbacked Yes | 30c | 67.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…22e8backed Yes | 57c | 66.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.83 | 29 | 82.8%24 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.18per pick | 65cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 75c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 61.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 532 | 7%37 W · 495 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 65c | 61.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…ff92backed No | 74c | 60.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03c…68cfbacked No | 37c | 60.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 45c | 57.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.76 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…c4efbacked No | 78c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 128 | 30.5%39 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b74…2891backed No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa972…d075backed Yes | 40c | 49.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 61c | 49.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 48.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 263 | 18.3%48 W · 215 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c88…9482backed Yes | 42c | 48.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3df…e928backed No | 57c | 43.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +207.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1814…14a1backed No | 50c | 38.5$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…4634backed No | 57c | 37.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.