Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x694c71230d1413d7bafe74e54ebf8f3863c87b273d753539ed03867bc86ba375
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 10c | 10,719$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.87 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 13c | 5,950$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.54 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 11c | 5,494$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.54 | 381 | 44.1%168 W · 213 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked No | 11c | 5,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 128 | 32.8%42 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 15c | 1,785$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.67 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed No | 11c | 1,636$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dc…d577backed No | 14c | 735.71$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 13c | 618.73$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 661 | 50.5%334 W · 327 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 12c | 615.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.54 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 12c | 581.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 11c | 545.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…02ccbacked No | 11c | 499.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 12c | 364.7$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 441 | 56%247 W · 194 L | +22.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed No | 6c | 352.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked No | 14c | 276$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.74 | 187 | 32.1%60 W · 127 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 12c | 264.92$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.05 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 13c | 253.04$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 694 | 48.8%339 W · 355 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd623…e35fbacked No | 14c | 251.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed No | 13c | 248$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 129 | 41.9%54 W · 75 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 11c | 207.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | -5.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 12c | 161$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…35d6backed No | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 15c | 144.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.02 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 12c | 141.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed No | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 11c | 117.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beşiktaş JK win on 2026-08-20?this page
- Will Beşiktaş JK vs. FK Kauno Žalgiris end in a draw?No won
- Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-08-20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.