Lol · resolved market
LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f78bafffe701e8af3cf654b0511a3e6609b143ff6f24e4de56045efc9f26edd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Convictionof Conviction, Contingent Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,360
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,360 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Contingent Esports | 28c | 6,467$1,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,829 | 313 | 28.8%90 W · 223 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…e129backed Contingent Esports | 0c | 5,047$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 75 | 68%51 W · 24 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Contingent Esports | 24c | 2,887$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.35 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Conviction | 79c | 1,755$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.28 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b89…a4cdbacked Conviction | 68c | 1,478$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.46 | 710 | 57%405 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Conviction | 75c | 1,437$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.45 | 285 | 44.9%128 W · 157 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Conviction | 79c | 1,272$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.54 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…5bd2backed Contingent Esports | 42c | 1,195$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 289 | 48.1%139 W · 150 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Contingent Esports | 32c | 1,097$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.26 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Contingent Esports | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 942 | 37.3%351 W · 591 L | +51.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d91…16abbacked Conviction | 68c | 877.89$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.89 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69b1…2687backed Contingent Esports | 37c | 871.38$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.59 | 308 | 43.2%133 W · 175 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Conviction | 68c | 869.79$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.13 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37ca…f644backed Conviction | 73c | 826.87$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.87 | 246 | 58.5%144 W · 102 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…a2cbbacked Conviction | 77c | 715.33$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.89 | 245 | 54.3%133 W · 112 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb46…ed08backed Contingent Esports | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Contingent Esports | 26c | 573.84$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Conviction | 60c | 566.54$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a76…29dcbacked Conviction | 75c | 525.55$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.9 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Contingent Esports | 23c | 513.02$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.68 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Conviction | 63c | 500$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1c…f271backed Conviction | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Conviction | 62c | 481.06$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Conviction | 74c | 462.95$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.39 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Contingent Esports | 23c | 454$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.71 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe410…d4d1backed Contingent Esports | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Contingent Esports | 23c | 410$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Conviction | 76c | 380.84$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked Contingent Esports | 26c | 358.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Contingent Esports | 25c | 342.49$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.93 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Contingent Esports | 27c | 334.12$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.67 | 448 | 51.8%232 W · 216 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3fe…3f90backed Contingent Esports | 31c | 323.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Contingent Esports | 10c | 297.35$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 1,130 | 30%339 W · 791 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Conviction | 69c | 288.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 403 | 64.5%260 W · 143 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Conviction | 56c | 276.84$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.25 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…e0b1backed Contingent Esports | 39c | 258.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 524 | 41%215 W · 309 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Contingent Esports | 16c | 254.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Contingent Esports | 43c | 252.68$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.59 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Contingent Esports | 23c | 237.51$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Contingent Esports | 20c | 217.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd1d…6f23backed Conviction | 71c | 211.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 405 | 49.1%199 W · 206 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Conviction | 71c | 194.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.49 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Conviction | 74c | 190.53$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Contingent Esports | 16c | 184.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Conviction | 77c | 181.03$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.06 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Conviction | 78c | 178.53$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.58 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdccd…f41abacked Contingent Esports | 21c | 166.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 178 | 39.3%70 W · 108 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Contingent Esports | 43c | 162$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.15 | 358 | 48.9%175 W · 183 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Contingent Esports | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 627 | 39.9%250 W · 377 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Contingent Esports | 18c | 153$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Contingent Esports | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd7…8553backed Conviction | 69c | 149$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 700 | 57.3%401 W · 299 L | +36.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Contingent Esports | 30c | 148$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.09 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Contingent Esports | 23c | 147.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Contingent Esports | 25c | 144.58$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Contingent Esports | 39c | 139.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Conviction | 72c | 138.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc064…6fa8backed Conviction | 70c | 134.29$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 468 | 46.8%219 W · 249 L | -23.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Contingent Esports | 30c | 128.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.43 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed Conviction | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5819…2b4fbacked Conviction | 68c | 102.78$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 505 | 50.7%256 W · 249 L | +34.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a0…8189backed Contingent Esports | 19c | 102.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 126 | 38.1%48 W · 78 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Contingent Esports | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9d…6c84backed Contingent Esports | 25c | 93.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 344 | 38.7%133 W · 211 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Contingent Esports | 41c | 92.32$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Conviction | 68c | 90.13$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Contingent Esports | 27c | 85.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Conviction | 80c | 82.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.68 | 444 | 61.7%274 W · 170 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…9f0cbacked Conviction | 73c | 81.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Conviction | 62c | 80.6$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe598…e597backed Conviction | 74c | 80.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1526…d77cbacked Conviction | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Contingent Esports | 23c | 66.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 1,318 | 47.3%624 W · 694 L | -31.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Contingent Esports | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 621 | 50.6%314 W · 307 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…7c09backed Conviction | 69c | 58.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 174 | 62.6%109 W · 65 L | +9.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x660c…7f7abacked Conviction | 70c | 55.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 179 | 57.5%103 W · 76 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Conviction | 56c | 52.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…bc2fbacked Contingent Esports | 25c | 51.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 285 | 53%151 W · 134 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Conviction | 62c | 50.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.27 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511d…3633backed Conviction | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…ea61backed Conviction | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 255 | 67.8%173 W · 82 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c6c…776fbacked Contingent Esports | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Conviction | 70c | 49.78$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 234 | 58.5%137 W · 97 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Contingent Esports | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Conviction | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 696 | 44.4%309 W · 387 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Contingent Esports | 24c | 42.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 1,543 | 54.8%845 W · 698 L | +75.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Contingent Esports | 35c | 41.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked Conviction | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 211 | 66.4%140 W · 71 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d4…a3d5backed Contingent Esports | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Conviction | 73c | 35.59$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Contingent Esports | 40c | 34.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Conviction | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedab…8926backed Conviction | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 393 | 52.4%206 W · 187 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Conviction | 57c | 24.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | -21.1wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Conviction | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Conviction | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Conviction | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 799 | 73.3%586 W · 213 L | +45.9wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Conviction | 56c | 18.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Conviction | 56c | 17.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bed…c30bbacked Conviction | 69c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)Conviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group StageConviction won
- LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.