Lol · resolved market

LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f7997744164ba031caed17c34a5386cd2232da6573be66fb0a5296e50316d82

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Convictionof Conviction, Contingent Esports
Resolved: Aug 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $36,321
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $39,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,321 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x60ec…f7b0backed Conviction	64c	1,532$978 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.35	1,047	50.3%527 W · 520 L	+37.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Conviction	73c	1,463$1,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.11	1,826	39.9%728 W · 1,098 L	-61.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Contingent Esports	21c	1,307$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$278.2	1,058	23.5%249 W · 809 L	-75.8wins	-0.07per pick	31cpaid	-49.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3078…a2cbbacked Conviction	77c	1,306$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$305.92	245	54.3%133 W · 112 L	+10.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c42…b792backed Contingent Esports	31c	1,179$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.54	82	39%32 W · 50 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Contingent Esports	8c	915.17$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.75	1,971	30.5%601 W · 1,370 L	-170.0wins	-0.09per pick	39cpaid	-43.4%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed Contingent Esports	38c	844.5$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.85	308	43.2%133 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Contingent Esports	7c	809$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.91	290	38.6%112 W · 178 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe410…d4d1backed Contingent Esports	12c	804.46$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	153	52.9%81 W · 72 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Contingent Esports	32c	796.93$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$256.46	354	35.3%125 W · 229 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Contingent Esports	18c	781$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.15	253	42.7%108 W · 145 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8868…ec09backed Contingent Esports	32c	780.99$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$249.92	31	58.1%18 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Contingent Esports	17c	716.09$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.56	2,202	33.3%733 W · 1,469 L	-72.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Contingent Esports	3c	700.76$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.15	2,679	35.7%957 W · 1,722 L	-153.5wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Conviction	71c	567.43$402 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.92	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Contingent Esports	16c	543.81$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.33	1,389	37.7%524 W · 865 L	-45.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x912f…b25bbacked Contingent Esports	3c	523$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.14	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcefd…d6aabacked Contingent Esports	29c	517.24$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	67	31.3%21 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Conviction	74c	500$372 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbe8…bb28backed Contingent Esports	32c	468.75$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	114	28.9%33 W · 81 L	-9.2wins	-0.08per pick	37cpaid	-27%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Conviction	64c	462.72$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165.55	68	55.9%38 W · 30 L	+6.1wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+17.6%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Conviction	66c	450.12$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.21	421	43.9%185 W · 236 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Contingent Esports	9c	356.23$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.86	1,130	30%339 W · 791 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Conviction	65c	353.07$231 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$122.52	113	46.9%53 W · 60 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Conviction	78c	322.58$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.97	48	75%36 W · 12 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	78cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Contingent Esports	24c	312.51$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.89	448	51.8%232 W · 216 L	+7.1wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe720…ce31backed Contingent Esports	30c	310.09$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.42	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7462…3ac3backed Conviction	66c	309.97$205 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$105.39	1,007	47.9%482 W · 525 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3b…aa7dbacked Conviction	66c	302.94$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Contingent Esports	37c	300$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	106	34.9%37 W · 69 L	-14.4wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xbc14…1d66backed Contingent Esports	13c	300$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39	46	37%17 W · 29 L	-3.2wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Contingent Esports	16c	280$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	556	28.6%159 W · 397 L	-31.8wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02f8…2239backed Contingent Esports	28c	244.97$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.59	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+19.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb57f…0c96backed Contingent Esports	31c	222.26$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.9	438	39.7%174 W · 264 L	-24.3wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ed1…fd2abacked Conviction	63c	220.48$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.48	356	42.4%151 W · 205 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…1e8abacked Contingent Esports	31c	220$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.2	285	44.9%128 W · 157 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked Contingent Esports	31c	219.35$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68	905	37.5%339 W · 566 L	-18.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Contingent Esports	11c	211.85$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.59	1,057	46.1%487 W · 570 L	-11.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Contingent Esports	7c	206.04$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.98	283	29.7%84 W · 199 L	-32.5wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Contingent Esports	29c	200$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	362	46.4%168 W · 194 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7628…eb57backed Contingent Esports	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	+2.4wins	+0.17per pick	12cpaid	+244.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Conviction	67c	199.33$134 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$65.78	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Contingent Esports	10c	192.17$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.17	1,606	17.5%281 W · 1,325 L	-245.0wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Contingent Esports	8c	169.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.49	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81d1…4806backed Conviction	62c	158.24$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.13	49	63.3%31 W · 18 L	+1.4wins	+0.03per pick	61cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Contingent Esports	14c	147.32$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.13	1,543	54.8%845 W · 698 L	+75.4wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Contingent Esports	29c	143.96$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.75	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Contingent Esports	15c	139.98$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.67	944	44.4%419 W · 525 L	-31.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a9d…6c84backed Contingent Esports	16c	137.33$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.06	344	38.7%133 W · 211 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Conviction	69c	127.91$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.4	399	51.1%204 W · 195 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x646a…cd90backed Contingent Esports	15c	110.98$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	-1.8wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Contingent Esports	29c	110.85$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.15	206	31.6%65 W · 141 L	-8.8wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2888…f1a4backed Contingent Esports	34c	109.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.39	539	32.5%175 W · 364 L	+5.1wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Contingent Esports	37c	100$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	46	47.8%22 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f62…c3e0backed Contingent Esports	15c	94.53$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	41	31.7%13 W · 28 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	27cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a6…52d2backed Conviction	72c	92.22$66 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.02	346	67.6%234 W · 112 L	-7.9wins	-0.02per pick	70cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Contingent Esports	14c	92$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	125	43.2%54 W · 71 L	+6.5wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16f1…e1d1backed Contingent Esports	28c	90.3$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.28	392	51.3%201 W · 191 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Contingent Esports	28c	89.29$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	256	40.6%104 W · 152 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Contingent Esports	35c	87.58$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.58	1,310	49.2%644 W · 666 L	-23.8wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Contingent Esports	13c	80.32$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.21	1,539	43.7%673 W · 866 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e30…c14dbacked Conviction	62c	79.05$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.04	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4509…58aebacked Contingent Esports	27c	75.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.17	1,055	39.6%418 W · 637 L	-74.9wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4255…1792backed Contingent Esports	29c	75.72$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.96	124	28.2%35 W · 89 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Conviction	69c	75$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.25	777	41.7%324 W · 453 L	-27.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Contingent Esports	35c	75$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.25	42	42.9%18 W · 24 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ff4…0d50backed Contingent Esports	30c	65.73$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	80	42.5%34 W · 46 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Contingent Esports	28c	63.28$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.03	116	37.1%43 W · 73 L	-6.7wins	-0.06per pick	43cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x891b…3c08backed Conviction	72c	59$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.52	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	65cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf194…b52dbacked Contingent Esports	33c	48.93$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-2.7wins	-0.10per pick	53cpaid	-24.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked Conviction	64c	46.88$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.88	197	59.4%117 W · 80 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Contingent Esports	36c	43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.48	1,638	46.7%765 W · 873 L	-26.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-16%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Contingent Esports	31c	41.75$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.78	389	31.9%124 W · 265 L	-14.5wins	-0.04per pick	36cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfae3…4ecdbacked Contingent Esports	38c	40.71$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	-2.4wins	-0.09per pick	55cpaid	-26%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Conviction	72c	37.5$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.5	212	66.5%141 W · 71 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	65cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0e4…dd38backed Conviction	64c	32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.52	181	65.7%119 W · 62 L	+23.7wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Conviction	71c	31.99$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.28	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-5.2wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-18%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x01af…7bc2backed Contingent Esports	32c	31.25$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Conviction	70c	30.1$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9	344	48.3%166 W · 178 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Contingent Esports	38c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	924	50.9%470 W · 454 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Contingent Esports	37c	30$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.1	580	43.3%251 W · 329 L	-47.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-27%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Contingent Esports	37c	28.57$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.57	1,385	45.1%625 W · 760 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb695…f967backed Conviction	69c	28.41$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.81	119	50.4%60 W · 59 L	+3.9wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Conviction	65c	23.08$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.08	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	70cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Conviction	68c	20$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.4	462	48.9%226 W · 236 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Conviction	64c	19.53$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.03	108	47.2%51 W · 57 L	+3.7wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7592…59debacked Conviction	62c	19.35$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.35	73	56.2%41 W · 32 L	-5.7wins	-0.08per pick	64cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stagethis page
Game Handicap: CNV (-1.5) vs Contingent Esports (+1.5)Conviction won
LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports - Game 1 WinnerConviction won
LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports - Game 2 WinnerConviction won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Conviction vs Contingent Esports (BO3) - North American Challengers League Group Stage

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event