Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9a76c1d733120eca93a7d398f6d6d9a487ab06504ce4e79b425d163e8dd55adc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forsakenof Orbit Anonymo, Forsaken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,983
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,386
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,983 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 674.01$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.76 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Orbit Anonymo | 9c | 574.78$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 1,067 | 23.5%251 W · 816 L | -76.8wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Orbit Anonymo | 27c | 559.55$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.08 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Forsaken | 76c | 527.01$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.01 | 829 | 53.4%443 W · 386 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 404.1$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 365 | 41.9%153 W · 212 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bf…b006backed Forsaken | 73c | 360.01$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.2 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee46…faa0backed Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 320$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -9.3wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Forsaken | 74c | 304.7$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.08 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3208…07a7backed Orbit Anonymo | 7c | 300$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 287.77$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.5 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Forsaken | 75c | 287.33$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.83 | 664 | 59.8%397 W · 267 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Forsaken | 75c | 248.56$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.6 | 405 | 51.1%207 W · 198 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 226.06$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Orbit Anonymo | 27c | 210.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.45 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked Forsaken | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 27c | 209.26$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 909 | 37.3%339 W · 570 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Orbit Anonymo | 21c | 203.87$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Forsaken | 75c | 201.6$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Forsaken | 76c | 197.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 197.23$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53d3…cc48backed Forsaken | 74c | 196$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0e…7397backed Forsaken | 75c | 194.42$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 185.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 414 | 33.6%139 W · 275 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…0566backed Forsaken | 75c | 170$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Orbit Anonymo | 17c | 156.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.38 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…6edfbacked Orbit Anonymo | 27c | 144.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Forsaken | 79c | 138$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 1,085 | 46.2%501 W · 584 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Forsaken | 77c | 136.94$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 2,540 | 39.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L | -79.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed Forsaken | 73c | 133.71$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.1 | 102 | 56.9%58 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7a…aaaebacked Forsaken | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e03…040fbacked Forsaken | 73c | 133.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.93 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 112.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,181 | 66%780 W · 401 L | +70.1wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa525…53c0backed Forsaken | 77c | 106.23$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Forsaken | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Forsaken | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 637 | 51.2%326 W · 311 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Forsaken | 73c | 99.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 164 | 62.2%102 W · 62 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Orbit Anonymo | 16c | 90.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 562 | 28.6%161 W · 401 L | -32.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86e5…6576backed Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Forsaken | 77c | 78.1$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 74.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…645bbacked Forsaken | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 134 | 59.7%80 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 64$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 203 | 46.3%94 W · 109 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Forsaken | 75c | 60.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 56.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -52.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Forsaken | 73c | 50.64$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 44.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 471 | 36.9%174 W · 297 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Forsaken | 76c | 43.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Orbit Anonymo | 27c | 41.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…f1a4backed Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 549 | 32.4%178 W · 371 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 469 | 52.2%245 W · 224 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Forsaken | 76c | 38.77$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73fd…a02abacked Forsaken | 79c | 31.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Forsaken | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 310 | 52.3%162 W · 148 L | +30.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Forsaken | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…86c3backed Forsaken | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Forsaken | 76c | 22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Forsaken | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Forsaken | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 184 | 63.6%117 W · 67 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Forsaken | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Seasonthis page
- Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs Orbit Anonymo (+1.5)Forsaken won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken - Game 1 WinnerForsaken won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken - Game 2 WinnerForsaken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.