Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08726c5cbaddf6cd1264ceec76758e60a4c126151961347f582cc0a17372ad39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forsakenof Orbit Anonymo, Forsaken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,231
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,754
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,231 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Orbit Anonymo | 13c | 1,074$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.26 | 1,428 | 38.4%548 W · 880 L | -42.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d24…cf3fbacked Forsaken | 67c | 655$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.5 | 146 | 63.7%93 W · 53 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Orbit Anonymo | 28c | 514.4$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.75 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Orbit Anonymo | 31c | 512.11$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.75 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Forsaken | 69c | 219.13$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.93 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f1…e1d1backed Forsaken | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Forsaken | 70c | 191$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.18 | 310 | 52.3%162 W · 148 L | +30.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed Orbit Anonymo | 28c | 156.31$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 180 | 47.2%85 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Forsaken | 69c | 144.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 1,852 | 39.8%738 W · 1,114 L | -64.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…d34abacked Forsaken | 76c | 140$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…c3f1backed Forsaken | 72c | 139.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.03 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Orbit Anonymo | 23c | 135.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 2,521 | 47.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L | -34.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Forsaken | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.4 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Orbit Anonymo | 32c | 87.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed Orbit Anonymo | 14c | 82.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 366 | 52.5%192 W · 174 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a60…a744backed Orbit Anonymo | 24c | 71.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 545 | 45.7%249 W · 296 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Forsaken | 70c | 64.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Orbit Anonymo | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Orbit Anonymo | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -52.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c09…a8d1backed Forsaken | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Forsaken | 72c | 24.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 756 | 49.6%375 W · 381 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2364…18f2backed Forsaken | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +14.6wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Forsaken | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs Orbit Anonymo (+1.5)Forsaken won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonForsaken won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken - Game 1 WinnerForsaken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.