Lol · resolved market
LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9724fb80388a73520427761444bfc1c1bd70fe77934868603dc2183a52be342b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Forsakenof Orbit Anonymo, Forsaken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5aa…e7eebacked Orbit Anonymo | 34c | 2,415$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Forsaken | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Forsaken | 58c | 1,688$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.8 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…0b52backed Orbit Anonymo | 36c | 1,068$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa844…83b8backed Orbit Anonymo | 42c | 1,016$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.47 | 621 | 58.8%365 W · 256 L | +32.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed Orbit Anonymo | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,208 | 35.8%432 W · 776 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 40c | 996.44$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d9…5333backed Orbit Anonymo | 44c | 977.27$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.21 | 585 | 59.7%349 W · 236 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Forsaken | 63c | 923.76$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.2 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Forsaken | 67c | 840.11$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.09 | 1,047 | 50.3%527 W · 520 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Forsaken | 59c | 631.92$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.14 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0587…c40bbacked Orbit Anonymo | 33c | 587.3$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.61 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | +16.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Forsaken | 76c | 531.64$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.31 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Forsaken | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 421 | 43.9%185 W · 236 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Orbit Anonymo | 21c | 441.76$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.72 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Orbit Anonymo | 31c | 275.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.49 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Forsaken | 61c | 249.02$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Forsaken | 68c | 222.35$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.15 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb35f…cf4cbacked Forsaken | 68c | 185.3$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 448 | 46.2%207 W · 241 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c1e…befebacked Forsaken | 67c | 150.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Orbit Anonymo | 25c | 144$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Forsaken | 59c | 125.13$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.3 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Forsaken | 75c | 120.62$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Orbit Anonymo | 26c | 113$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 1,638 | 46.7%765 W · 873 L | -26.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Orbit Anonymo | 40c | 104.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 460 | 58%267 W · 193 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed Forsaken | 76c | 104$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9f…0c25backed Forsaken | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +28.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6af0…fea7backed Forsaken | 64c | 99.59$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Orbit Anonymo | 16c | 90.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…bc5ebacked Forsaken | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 350 | 58.6%205 W · 145 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd2…2b8fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 428 | 51.2%219 W · 209 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Forsaken | 75c | 79$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 2,311 | 39.4%910 W · 1,401 L | -83.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Forsaken | 79c | 77.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Forsaken | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Forsaken | 54c | 72.06$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Forsaken | 67c | 67.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 447 | 45.2%202 W · 245 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Forsaken | 60c | 66.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.12 | 88 | 48.9%43 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Forsaken | 64c | 57.3$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 608 | 55.8%339 W · 269 L | -14.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4509…58aebacked Orbit Anonymo | 40c | 54.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 1,055 | 39.6%418 W · 637 L | -74.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…d472backed Orbit Anonymo | 41c | 54.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 282 | 60.6%171 W · 111 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Orbit Anonymo | 41c | 52.56$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Orbit Anonymo | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Orbit Anonymo | 32c | 44.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9473…cba4backed Forsaken | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 535 | 45.2%242 W · 293 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Forsaken | 62c | 39.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.28 | 1,357 | 31.2%423 W · 934 L | -129.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Orbit Anonymo | 31c | 39.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Orbit Anonymo | 41c | 34.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 444 | 61.7%274 W · 170 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf097…83edbacked Orbit Anonymo | 37c | 32.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Forsaken | 57c | 31.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 406 | 37.7%153 W · 253 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Forsaken | 54c | 30.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 305 | 43%131 W · 174 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7dc…4f6ebacked Forsaken | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 167 | 52.1%87 W · 80 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb978…fac0backed Orbit Anonymo | 41c | 29.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 136 | 64%87 W · 49 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…8f39backed Forsaken | 60c | 25.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Forsaken | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 748 | 49.6%371 W · 377 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Forsaken | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cd…abfabacked Forsaken | 67c | 20.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.93 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Forsaken | 58c | 20.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Forsaken | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.85 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Forsaken | 57c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 385 | 55.1%212 W · 173 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: FSK (-1.5) vs Orbit Anonymo (+1.5)Forsaken won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonForsaken won
- LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs Forsaken - Game 2 WinnerForsaken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.