Fifa International · resolved market
England to score first vs. DR Congo?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfed7d9a772c81cafecc38694f60310f5b90c88c65b16119b8bf54ddb895d74e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,888
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,888 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 63,557$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995.07 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 22c | 8,602$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,709.25 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 78c | 8,330$6,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,498.84 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f34…82e8backed Yes | 0c | 5,511$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 23c | 5,417$1,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,184.49 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 77c | 4,047$3,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,116.19 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 23c | 3,265$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.51 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked No | 23c | 2,866$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,206.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e6…036dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,919$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.96 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 77c | 1,299$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 77c | 1,298$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 23c | 1,290$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.27 | 143 | 44.8%64 W · 79 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 23c | 1,120$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.31 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 198 | 25.3%50 W · 148 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 77c | 1,000$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.47 | 218 | 50%109 W · 109 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a1…90e3backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6673…6efbbacked Yes | 17c | 998.65$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.98 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 20cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 23c | 772.01$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.67 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c12…dd68backed Yes | 78c | 624.53$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3a…64b7backed No | 21c | 603.4$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.69 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa782…cbafbacked Yes | 18c | 547.88$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.71 | 96 | 31.3%30 W · 66 L | +12.4wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…e7d0backed Yes | 77c | 519.48$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 22c | 509.96$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.77 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…23e5backed No | 24c | 500$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0937…46ffbacked Yes | 76c | 499.95$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.96 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 23c | 475$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.75 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1946…6367backed No | 23c | 469.86$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.27 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58e…a0b0backed Yes | 77c | 454.55$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 21c | 449.5$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.43 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba4…d608backed Yes | 77c | 438.65$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.76 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…3776backed Yes | 15c | 436.51$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661c…695bbacked Yes | 77c | 415.38$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.84 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe2b…20e4backed Yes | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 22c | 379.98$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.39 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 23c | 345.14$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.56 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb545…30e2backed Yes | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 22c | 300$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 23c | 281.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.11 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 23c | 266$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bed…85b8backed Yes | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89a…d889backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 65cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ae…3d37backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912c…aa92backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 69cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…0b4abacked Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…8b1fbacked No | 23c | 248.36$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.44 | 217 | 49.8%108 W · 109 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…99c2backed Yes | 77c | 241.14$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.27 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d5…720fbacked Yes | 77c | 233.77$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 24c | 210.55$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.12 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 79c | 210$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 79c | 210$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.9 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 22c | 200.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.23 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked Yes | 77c | 181.25$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.56 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed No | 42c | 180.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.13 | 847 | 38.8%329 W · 518 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 23c | 168$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.94 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 79c | 163.55$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.98 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed No | 21c | 156$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.24 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 22c | 150$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 22c | 145.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.91 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked No | 22c | 134.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.24 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa4…2638backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 352 | 51.7%182 W · 170 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4722…36bbbacked Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc00d…b3a0backed Yes | 78c | 110.26$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 24c | 108.33$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed No | 23c | 105$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 77c | 104.94$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.8 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 76c | 96.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 77c | 94.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c53…69fbbacked Yes | 77c | 88.31$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…c0a3backed Yes | 78c | 85.42$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 23c | 84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…b43fbacked No | 23c | 84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 23c | 80.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.77 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 78c | 80$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Yes | 77c | 71.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 77c | 64.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec9…cf38backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 23c | 62.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a0…2746backed Yes | 78c | 59.62$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 197 | 39.6%78 W · 119 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 23c | 58.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 77c | 53.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 23c | 52.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.52 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…557fbacked Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 202 | 53%107 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 23c | 45.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38a9…572fbacked Yes | 77c | 45.45$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2280…c978backed Yes | 77c | 42.86$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceab…dce7backed No | 25c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 544 | 50.6%275 W · 269 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87cb…643abacked Yes | 76c | 40.14$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 209 | 42.6%89 W · 120 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Yes | 77c | 40$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 984 | 39.2%386 W · 598 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd02…e9afbacked Yes | 78c | 39.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb95a…0cdcbacked Yes | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes | 77c | 39.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa943…8a22backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ae…18a2backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91c6…2f32backed Yes | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8f…c01dbacked Yes | 78c | 38.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2135…fb22backed Yes | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- England to score first vs. DR Congo?this page
- DR Congo to score first vs. England?Yes won
- England vs. DR Congo: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.