Asian League · resolved market
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e8eb0fe500a54c1981fa8f99ca014b2a39693ab20b5b6e239fe9aeb606b271b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,361
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,361 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Yes | 24c | 7,905$1,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,930.13 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 80c | 3,855$3,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.18 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed No | 74c | 2,830$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.79 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +116%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 26c | 2,325$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.5 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 76c | 2,214$1,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.43 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 1,938$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.44 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Yes | 27c | 1,534$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 1,111$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 73c | 623$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.57 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 74c | 562.35$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.21 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 520.94$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.65 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59dc…2a03backed Yes | 11c | 517.7$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.19 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 74c | 502.73$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.71 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 21c | 265$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.94 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 20c | 249.96$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 219.18$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 75c | 217.63$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 75c | 206.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 75c | 206.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.58 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 190 | 48.4%92 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 30c | 183.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 28c | 153.93$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…2af5backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 32cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 80c | 147.95$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.26 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 140.11$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 133$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.91 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a2…b646backed Yes | 19c | 102.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72b…6834backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf508…30a5backed No | 75c | 73.42$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa7…eccfbacked Yes | 20c | 68.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -46%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 60c | 67.5$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Yes | 26c | 52.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x541e…b57abacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 75c | 36.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x199f…7e05backed No | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed No | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 76c | 34.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.48 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 79c | 33.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…c669backed No | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 62cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb649…e8b2backed No | 74c | 27.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7797…668bbacked No | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 80c | 21.05$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 71c | 14.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw?this page
- Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-06-06?No won
- Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-06-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.