Fifa International · resolved market
Brazil leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb262be5fc05699e7fd7e29e79502526a95faf0e30f58dfd1ea2b937f7dd71dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 55c | 4,759$2,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,615.86 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 45c | 3,923$1,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.47 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 43c | 2,047$872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.51 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 39c | 1,618$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.18 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24f…d0a8backed Yes | 59c | 1,436$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.47 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 57c | 1,021$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.98 | 180 | 40%72 W · 108 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 44c | 604.18$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.45 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 42c | 538$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.69 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 41c | 320$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.8 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 59c | 289.45$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 235 | 44.7%105 W · 130 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc3…55a2backed Yes | 58c | 242.41$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…363ebacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 51c | 197.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 551 | 53%292 W · 259 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.1%60 W · 73 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked No | 52c | 120.08$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x336a…1915backed No | 42c | 116.67$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.67 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 43c | 106.22$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.07 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…4575backed Yes | 52c | 103.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc595…994dbacked Yes | 13c | 103.15$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 145 | 26.2%38 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 58c | 101.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.91 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…e7d7backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…e759backed Yes | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 524 | 41.4%217 W · 307 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 67c | 82.48$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b1…d4d4backed Yes | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -10.9wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe62f…fca5backed Yes | 57c | 68.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9689…7bb3backed Yes | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked No | 44c | 56.81$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.81 | 709 | 48.9%347 W · 362 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3296…2597backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 48c | 49.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 45c | 38.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 236 | 58.1%137 W · 99 L | +20.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…aa69backed Yes | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf777…93e2backed Yes | 56c | 34.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Yes | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 41c | 29.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.58 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0236…4280backed Yes | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Yes | 63c | 24.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | +20.5wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brazil leading at halftime?this page
- Brazil vs. Egypt: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.