TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Los Angeles Sparks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,302

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,574 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Sparks50c34,536$17,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,246.8422748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Los Angeles Sparks52c28,569$14,856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,855.924540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea48…c596backed Las Vegas Aces48c18,378$8,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,556.5611540%46 W · 69 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Las Vegas Aces54c15,129$8,114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,014.5610749.5%53 W · 54 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Las Vegas Aces48c13,293$6,380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,912.28859.1%52 W · 36 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Las Vegas Aces48c7,562$3,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,932.513048.5%63 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Las Vegas Aces48c6,453$3,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,355.814847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Las Vegas Aces48c5,555$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,888.65050%25 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Los Angeles Sparks53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1204438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd6f5…f3b5backed Las Vegas Aces51c3,613$1,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,770.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc87c…afd7backed Las Vegas Aces52c2,583$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,249.691338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks47c2,083$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.211,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1e6…1dc1backed Los Angeles Sparks48c1,901$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Las Vegas Aces47c1,900$893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0072330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks52c1,763$916 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.7189349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Los Angeles Sparks52c1,730$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.63351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Las Vegas Aces68c1,599$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.4322967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Los Angeles Sparks46c1,410$649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.6646247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Sparks52c1,250$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Las Vegas Aces47c1,250$588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.55141.2%21 W · 30 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Las Vegas Aces52c1,148$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.156237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Las Vegas Aces64c1,075$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.411,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Las Vegas Aces48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.674951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Los Angeles Sparks49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49014060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3449…abdfbacked Los Angeles Sparks50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8aa6…83f9backed Los Angeles Sparks35c999.86$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.951637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-32.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Las Vegas Aces48c956$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.126851.5%35 W · 33 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x476d…0c42backed Las Vegas Aces48c905.88$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.064669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+44.1%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x156e…cf6fbacked Los Angeles Sparks36c852.81$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.352339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-31.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x32f1…c96ebacked Los Angeles Sparks48c800$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38411349.6%56 W · 57 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Los Angeles Sparks53c750$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Las Vegas Aces62c394.89$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.14250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-19.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Los Angeles Sparks50c360$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.924027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Las Vegas Aces47c326.65$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.0110151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf70b…5166backed Los Angeles Sparks64c314.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-44.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Las Vegas Aces48c301.88$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.9834448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Las Vegas Aces50c300$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1519254.3%50 W · 42 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Los Angeles Sparks53c296.3$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.045141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Los Angeles Sparks47c208.89$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.185354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f9f…da7bbacked Las Vegas Aces48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed Las Vegas Aces50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10013249.2%65 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Las Vegas Aces53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.685853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Las Vegas Aces48c186$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.7213143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x75dc…4f82backed Los Angeles Sparks36c182.53$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.716758.2%39 W · 28 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Las Vegas Aces48c166.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.674854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Los Angeles Sparks36c150$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5413440.3%54 W · 80 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Las Vegas Aces48c146$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.9221150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef54…c997backed Las Vegas Aces52c140$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.28746%40 W · 47 L-4.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed Los Angeles Sparks53c132.74$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709635.4%34 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03cc…6193backed Los Angeles Sparks53c128.3$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Las Vegas Aces49c122.72$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Las Vegas Aces50c119.74$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.3738744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Los Angeles Sparks28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070%0 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Los Angeles Sparks48c100.84$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.523943.6%17 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Los Angeles Sparks53c100$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539355.9%52 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Los Angeles Sparks48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4817143.9%75 W · 96 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Los Angeles Sparks52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5227049.6%134 W · 136 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdd…6da4backed Las Vegas Aces50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x987b…3d00backed Los Angeles Sparks52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013348.1%64 W · 69 L-10.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Sparks51c96$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7816450%82 W · 82 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Las Vegas Aces53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.342100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Los Angeles Sparks27c92.84$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…22b8backed Las Vegas Aces48c83.33$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed Los Angeles Sparks53c83.04$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.012429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xbc51…245abacked Las Vegas Aces48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.761275%9 W · 3 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+46.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Los Angeles Sparks36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208860.2%53 W · 35 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Los Angeles Sparks52c53.85$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcdb…02c3backed Los Angeles Sparks52c50.96$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x130a…5c12backed Las Vegas Aces67c50.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.721070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked Los Angeles Sparks52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa028…0031backed Los Angeles Sparks53c49.81$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.41526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.26per pick52cpaid-52%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x449e…f0a9backed Los Angeles Sparks53c49.42$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.19837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Las Vegas Aces52c45.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.793756.8%21 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x409b…21e8backed Los Angeles Sparks53c44.6$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.64633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…c3b9backed Los Angeles Sparks53c43.47$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Los Angeles Sparks48c40.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Los Angeles Sparks43c35$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23bc…5487backed Los Angeles Sparks46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153452.9%18 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Los Angeles Sparks46c31.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.774852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb27b…5d6ebacked Las Vegas Aces48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.257150.7%36 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Las Vegas Aces50c29.98$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1128447.9%136 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1bc…7e33backed Las Vegas Aces51c26.02$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.746100%6 W · 0 L+3.3wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9486…52e8backed Los Angeles Sparks43c25.47$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc94…9954backed Los Angeles Sparks53c25.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.33944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Sparks52c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1334753.9%187 W · 160 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Las Vegas Aces52c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.082240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x123e…eed4backed Las Vegas Aces52c23.08$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.081060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Los Angeles Sparks49c22.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.111952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.