WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37997ef87c75ca6519dff445b18ca578ec0efcd0a0c870bf82ec85a7d2a19c67
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Las Vegas Acesof Las Vegas Aces, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,469
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,469 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 16,414$7,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,714.77 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 16,000$8,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,520 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 11,798$5,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,537.44 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 6,868$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Las Vegas Aces | 59c | 6,548$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,666.43 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 3,045$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.49 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 1,999$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.73 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 1,800$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 1,696$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.81 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 64c | 1,595$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.16 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 1,250$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.5 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 998.22$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.43 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 27c | 637.35$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.93 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf70b…5166backed Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 360.11$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 354.23$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.25 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Los Angeles Sparks | 14c | 308.93$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.21 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 299.98$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.99 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed Los Angeles Sparks | 9c | 268.98$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…4004backed Las Vegas Aces | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 29c | 221.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.1 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 218.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.48 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 199.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 194.19$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 178.38$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.41 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…1365backed Las Vegas Aces | 68c | 146.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…6e00backed Las Vegas Aces | 70c | 143.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 132$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.68 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Las Vegas Aces | 66c | 118.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.51 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 98.14$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.03 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 16c | 94.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 93.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d30…5f85backed Los Angeles Sparks | 38c | 68.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.44 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 43c | 60.31$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.64 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Los Angeles Sparks | 17c | 59.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 55.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 46c | 53.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 47.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 44.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 43$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.73 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…a436backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 37.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 34.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Los Angeles Sparks | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 29.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 26.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 25.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Las Vegas Aces | 55c | 24.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles SparksLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5Under won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.