TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,353
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$130,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,353 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Under49c30,560$14,843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,71711545.2%52 W · 63 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over50c21,831$10,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,923.31,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c6,295$3,113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,113.4722748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under49c4,898$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,497.968859.1%52 W · 36 L+8.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Over51c4,734$2,414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.428447.6%40 W · 44 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under49c3,153$1,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,604.8613538.5%52 W · 83 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over3c2,850$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.4944915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over52c2,807$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,446.4646247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under61c2,674$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.3724852.4%130 W · 118 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under49c2,629$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.5940550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50c3…ace1backed Over51c2,504$1,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,269.899651%49 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d53…eb1abacked Under48c2,479$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,288.894535.6%16 W · 29 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x24d4…4e1dbacked Over49c2,429$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2009047.8%43 W · 47 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Over51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0205933.9%20 W · 39 L-6.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Over42c1,706$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$715.1885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Over50c1,542$771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.9414346.2%66 W · 77 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Over52c1,045$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.42330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick48cpaid-36.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c959.07$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.1310151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under63c931$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.414936.9%55 W · 94 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over52c774.31$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.2489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over4c698.27$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.511,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41bb…6302backed Over52c650$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3381050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under61c608.03$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.9437650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Over49c500$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24510548.6%51 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over24c423.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002568%17 W · 8 L+4.9wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+38%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over52c411$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.722860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa65c…509dbacked Under49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.163743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Under50c406$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20311156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Under58c390.43$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.6912355.3%68 W · 55 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under68c378.57$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.0115748.4%76 W · 81 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over49c367$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.8332049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed Under58c318$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5625246%116 W · 136 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2bf…04d7backed Over51c302.19$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.121668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.9wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+35.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb076…2f98backed Over51c277.56$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.561650%8 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under49c255$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.0515746.5%73 W · 84 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under50c238.5$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2914947.7%71 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Under50c228$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.096654.5%36 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8637…0c86backed Over9c222.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-26.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under49c212.69$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.4764152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Over51c210.14$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1722967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f9f…da7bbacked Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.081968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e61…0e06backed Over19c199.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384027.5%11 W · 29 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under50c167.64$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.8234448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Under56c165.67$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.1161042.5%259 W · 351 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under59c161$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.659444.7%42 W · 52 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Over24c160$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383040%12 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over42c133.52$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.95250%26 W · 26 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Over49c132.45$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.92955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under66c132$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.472152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over43c130.33$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.94847.9%23 W · 25 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under50c126.96$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.4823245.7%106 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over50c120.6$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6016745.5%76 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over51c120$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.292248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under58c114.33$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.454148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Under58c110.69$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.492263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over19c103.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7719646.9%92 W · 104 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under50c100.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.621150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…71f8backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdd…6da4backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a0c…14cebacked Over52c95.1$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.452927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over48c73$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.718844.1%83 W · 105 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over26c66.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.1738744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x871a…7be4backed Over52c55.6$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.913158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Under50c55.28$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.915444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbaf9…3a59backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7243…e409backed Under62c48.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.38742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07fc…b574backed Over52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa807…cc2ebacked Under50c47.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.875947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Over42c47.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6de9…a8e5backed Over51c46.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.55520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-59%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe840…733cbacked Under50c39.86$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.938850%44 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde0f…a4e7backed Under49c33.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.35771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+46.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Under51c33$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.212290.9%20 W · 2 L+6.6wins+0.30per pick61cpaid+52.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x2b3f…9faebacked Over50c30.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over53c25.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6142649.3%210 W · 216 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under51c25.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.550952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Over49c23.39$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5513745.3%62 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over51c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.3113143.5%57 W · 74 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2654…b45fbacked Under65c20.95$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.323372.7%24 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over52c20.65$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.745062%31 W · 19 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe34c…ca55backed Under59c20.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.27666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6569…a053backed Under76c20.12$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.833432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Under50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1014944.3%66 W · 83 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe7b2…6a58backed Under52c19.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.361346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc56b…772abacked Over52c19.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.09771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+33.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.