WNBA · resolved market
Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1bb3a56175e5aab9ae8482d49cb14500e3cfc7466e7c3eb0a1ddb9625606557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 50c | 35,033$17,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,513.85 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 50c | 25,843$12,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,921.5 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 8,696$4,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,278.35 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 48c | 5,447$2,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,614.67 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…32c2backed Under | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,399.99 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea48…c596backed Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -10.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8476…dc8dbacked Over | 50c | 1,832$916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 1c | 1,527$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d53…eb1abacked Under | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.88 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 50c | 1,099$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.5 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Under | 52c | 650$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Over | 48c | 520.01$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Under | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Under | 53c | 462.67$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.88 | 38 | 81.6%31 W · 7 L | +11.1wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Under | 52c | 430.23$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.51 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 51c | 425.9$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 47c | 401.04$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.49 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…3d00backed Under | 51c | 292.23$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.23 | 133 | 48.1%64 W · 69 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 49c | 150.92$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.95 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbc…8af3backed Under | 51c | 142.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.06 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Under | 80c | 140$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 49c | 129.82$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.21 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +38%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 52c | 101.92$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.92 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Over | 50c | 93.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc059…a1edbacked Over | 48c | 75.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Over | 48c | 74.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Under | 52c | 67.27$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.29 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed Over | 48c | 55.71$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Over | 48c | 48.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Over | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Under | 52c | 30.87$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.82 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Over | 49c | 24.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Under | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 184 | 41.8%77 W · 107 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…ec12backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Under | 51c | 19.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Under | 64c | 18.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 176.5this page
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles SparksLas Vegas Aces won
- Las Vegas Aces vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 175.5Under won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-6.5)Las Vegas Aces won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-7.5)Las Vegas Aces won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.