MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e0ea8fe908ef36a8bc7c93dbcd122c25fa4860993da3e43b39753199a40187d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,102
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,074
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,102 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 1c | 10,537$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.37 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 2c | 10,071$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.5 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 48c | 3,030$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.24 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 2c | 3,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.18 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Over | 52c | 2,250$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Under | 51c | 2,085$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 49c | 1,763$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.6 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 25c | 1,524$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.95 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5587…6d07backed Under | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 516 | 56.6%292 W · 224 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Under | 1c | 1,042$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Under | 1c | 996.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 50c | 888.99$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.16 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 52c | 822.51$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.8 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 40c | 530$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Over | 51c | 527.93$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.69 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 383$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314e…af4ebacked Over | 60c | 330$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d2…ad14backed Under | 48c | 299.98$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.99 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 50c | 257$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.5 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 49c | 238.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.19 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 16c | 232.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.57 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 47c | 230.32$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.25 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Over | 53c | 226.41$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.41 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Over | 64c | 217.29$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.53 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Over | 50c | 201.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 403 | 41.4%167 W · 236 L | -20.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…3e24backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Under | 31c | 197.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 151 | 43.7%66 W · 85 L | -12.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1980…3340backed Under | 40c | 162.18$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.87 | 324 | 50.9%165 W · 159 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6383…6e28backed Under | 40c | 155.22$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.09 | 792 | 55.6%440 W · 352 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…efddbacked Under | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 71c | 148.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 118.53$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.71 | 5,400 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,674 L | +17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2573…2726backed Over | 53c | 113.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 230 | 51.7%119 W · 111 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 49c | 103.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 443 | 48.5%215 W · 228 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 50c | 101.62$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.49 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Under | 29c | 88.7$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 42c | 88.3$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.09 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 49c | 79.01$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 25c | 78.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 191 | 55.5%106 W · 85 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 49c | 75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Under | 48c | 71.29$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.22 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f4…0eb2backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 859 | 49.1%422 W · 437 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Over | 51c | 54.04$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b95…5733backed Under | 28c | 50.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 192 | 52.6%101 W · 91 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 70c | 34.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c30…34f5backed Under | 52c | 31.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Over | 51c | 20.31$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.95 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 556 | 43.9%244 W · 312 L | -38.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…6a58backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 127 | 53.5%68 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 77c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsLos Angeles Angels won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.