MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6cf98441634952f17511cb0f76540ae1df32f6bd9597be6e923f7aa53edf2b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Houston Astros, Los Angeles Angels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $400,445
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $373,680
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $400,445 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 94,030$40,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,415.53 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 62,078$29,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,577.78 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Houston Astros | 54c | 46,296$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 43,592$23,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,610.95 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 15,416$10,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,358.63 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Houston Astros | 54c | 13,546$7,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,315 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Los Angeles Angels | 75c | 13,524$10,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.36 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc0…847dbacked Houston Astros | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.97 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Los Angeles Angels | 62c | 9,756$6,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,708.87 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 9,000$4,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,829.97 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Houston Astros | 12c | 8,853$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060.49 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8730backed Houston Astros | 49c | 8,571$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 8,000$4,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,686.43 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Houston Astros | 53c | 7,997$4,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238.27 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Houston Astros | 29c | 7,381$2,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.38 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 5,870$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.68 | 158 | 40.5%64 W · 94 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Angels | 65c | 4,757$3,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,654.51 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 31c | 3,712$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.01 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Houston Astros | 6c | 3,661$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.95 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Houston Astros | 0c | 3,505$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.05 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Houston Astros | 0c | 3,453$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Angels | 78c | 3,029$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.98 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 2,879$1,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.87 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb60…137abacked Houston Astros | 7c | 2,873$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 94 | 35.1%33 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Houston Astros | 2c | 2,760$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.86 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 2,553$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.19 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 2,432$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.48 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Houston Astros | 25c | 2,301$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 2,264$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Houston Astros | 1c | 2,066$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf77e…b594backed Houston Astros | 2c | 1,878$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 51 | 5.9%3 W · 48 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +188.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 1,754$1,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.74 | 600 | 43.3%260 W · 340 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Los Angeles Angels | 74c | 1,669$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.94 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Houston Astros | 53c | 1,555$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.15 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,536$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.43 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Los Angeles Angels | 64c | 1,357$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Houston Astros | 29c | 1,266$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.86 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 1,263$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.18 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd82…9f66backed Houston Astros | 8c | 1,195$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Houston Astros | 1c | 1,125$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros | 19c | 1,086$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.07 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x165f…d7c0backed Houston Astros | 4c | 1,011$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Houston Astros | 19c | 1,002$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.15 | 401 | 46.1%185 W · 216 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Houston Astros | 52c | 948.01$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.97 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Houston Astros | 4c | 937.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.49 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 890.46$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.1 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Houston Astros | 28c | 887.53$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.65 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Angels | 56c | 828.23$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.67 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13b7…c98fbacked Houston Astros | 8c | 769.93$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…27a6backed Houston Astros | 29c | 750$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Houston Astros | 53c | 749.94$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.47 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Houston Astros | 19c | 722$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.07 | 374 | 51.3%192 W · 182 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Houston Astros | 5c | 691.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Houston Astros | 54c | 666.66$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Los Angeles Angels | 70c | 582$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.76 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb86d…3c53backed Houston Astros | 15c | 533.1$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Los Angeles Angels | 48c | 521.35$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.35 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Los Angeles Angels | 49c | 508.16$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.16 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…6e09backed Houston Astros | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 272 | 31.3%85 W · 187 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Houston Astros | 29c | 499.94$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 367 | 29.4%108 W · 259 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6a…3b2ebacked Houston Astros | 4c | 450$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 435.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.98 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c73…6dafbacked Los Angeles Angels | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 54 | 68.5%37 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 417.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.02 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Houston Astros | 26c | 403.57$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.36 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Houston Astros | 28c | 378.6$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 422 | 41%173 W · 249 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 374.17$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.31 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1d…b0a8backed Los Angeles Angels | 60c | 372.46$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Houston Astros | 54c | 363.61$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 403 | 48.4%195 W · 208 L | -18.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 350$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…0482backed Houston Astros | 18c | 337.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.18 | 522 | 28%146 W · 376 L | -57.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…c500backed Houston Astros | 6c | 328.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Los Angeles Angels | 52c | 314$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.72 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Houston Astros | 7c | 306.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 252 | 47.6%120 W · 132 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 305.3$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.01 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Houston Astros | 47c | 297.69$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.87 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Houston Astros | 32c | 287.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…5269backed Houston Astros | 29c | 286.21$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 114 | 23.7%27 W · 87 L | -13.6wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…4b9cbacked Los Angeles Angels | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 274 | 50.7%139 W · 135 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…1fe9backed Houston Astros | 14c | 278.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked Los Angeles Angels | 68c | 265.45$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.59 | 726 | 55.4%402 W · 324 L | +40.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x085c…99e3backed Houston Astros | 53c | 250.39$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.71 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Los Angeles Angels | 77c | 249.02$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0de8…86eabacked Houston Astros | 31c | 244.23$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 237.11$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.67 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Houston Astros | 30c | 229.15$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.37 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d95…e33abacked Houston Astros | 36c | 227.38$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Houston Astros | 20c | 227.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.98 | 1,141 | 42.9%490 W · 651 L | -37.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 222.38$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 481 | 47%226 W · 255 L | -31.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x541d…61cfbacked Houston Astros | 26c | 217.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.78 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8350…d9febacked Houston Astros | 49c | 209.02$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…a989backed Houston Astros | 22c | 208.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Houston Astros | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…fc23backed Los Angeles Angels | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 656 | 51.2%336 W · 320 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Los Angeles Angels | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda3…36cfbacked Los Angeles Angels | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,310 | 43.6%571 W · 739 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Houston Astros | 54c | 190.74$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angelsthis page
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 12.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-3.5)Los Angeles Angels won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles AngelsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.