CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe7ea8b920ea4a69ac2853c79f84d7d5c879cd92330f7e33443cd8f2a26bfecd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nemigaof Nemiga, Rune Eaters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,196
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,196 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nemiga | 76c | 1,277$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.28 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 1,257$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.03 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nemiga | 73c | 1,124$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Nemiga | 73c | 849$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.24 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 799.99$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 681.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.57 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 433$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.35 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nemiga | 75c | 321.17$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.28 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nemiga | 75c | 298.08$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 276$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.13 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf6…b779backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 253.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.92 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Nemiga | 76c | 230$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Nemiga | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 122.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 121.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Rune Eaters | 12c | 110$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nemiga | 76c | 109.28$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.64 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rune Eaters | 26c | 88$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked Nemiga | 72c | 87.69$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.15per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767f…533dbacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 82.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rune Eaters | 24c | 68.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Rune Eaters | 26c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 58.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Nemiga | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 57.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Rune Eaters | 24c | 50.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.14 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Rune Eaters | 25c | 45.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nemiga | 74c | 41.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d16…0abbbacked Rune Eaters | 25c | 40.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee14…19f5backed Nemiga | 77c | 21.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Nemiga | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.9 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Nemiga | 76c | 13.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - BC Game Masters Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 WinnerNemiga won
- Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 WinnerNemiga won
- Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5)Nemiga won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.