CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Phantom (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x67025a3350b1da44d76903de2d2b6bb08179437a29acf9f134c8dc70618269ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,087
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,087 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2606…ba10backed Phantom | 31c | 7,143$2,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,214.39 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed BESTIA | 69c | 2,521$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.58 | 316 | 42.1%133 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f45…d3b8backed BESTIA | 69c | 1,422$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.92 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.4wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked BESTIA | 68c | 837.59$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.98 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 8c | 742.9$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.99 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Phantom | 33c | 717.21$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.02 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6d…71b4backed BESTIA | 69c | 711.07$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.43 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Phantom | 32c | 694.59$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.81 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ac…a735backed Phantom | 32c | 600$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 244 | 29.5%72 W · 172 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked BESTIA | 68c | 588.48$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.31 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…0058backed BESTIA | 69c | 504.92$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Phantom | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked BESTIA | 69c | 487.64$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.17 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Phantom | 29c | 337.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.05 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked BESTIA | 66c | 316.83$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.72 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BESTIA | 75c | 315.2$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Phantom | 5c | 308.2$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Phantom | 25c | 296.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed BESTIA | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed BESTIA | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Phantom | 5c | 261.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb3…6bfebacked BESTIA | 67c | 249.99$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed BESTIA | 69c | 179.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.56 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Phantom | 33c | 155.26$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.74 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked BESTIA | 69c | 147.21$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked BESTIA | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Phantom | 14c | 128.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Phantom | 13c | 125.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BESTIA | 67c | 112.59$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.27 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5410…dcc7backed Phantom | 18c | 108.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Phantom | 16c | 95.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Phantom | 33c | 87.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Phantom | 13c | 86.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed BESTIA | 67c | 83.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed BESTIA | 69c | 78.51$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.34 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2409…215ebacked BESTIA | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…149bbacked BESTIA | 68c | 63.79$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Phantom | 17c | 59.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed BESTIA | 68c | 55.91$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.84 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed BESTIA | 68c | 54.95$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 171 | 53.2%91 W · 80 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Phantom | 23c | 52.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Phantom | 34c | 42.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Phantom | 29c | 40.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked BESTIA | 68c | 37.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BESTIA | 78c | 35.32$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked BESTIA | 72c | 27.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb997…faacbacked BESTIA | 69c | 22.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 205 | 53.2%109 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc993…e178backed BESTIA | 67c | 15.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Phantom (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Phantom - Map 2 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.