CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Phantom - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25432f8aaf9ba1d4806616744a6c7f7082b6cdd3f38e9e312d089732334aa65f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BESTIAof BESTIA, Phantom
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,131
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,131 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x582a…ae39backed Phantom | 41c | 949.05$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.76 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed BESTIA | 59c | 773.69$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.8 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked BESTIA | 64c | 680.08$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed BESTIA | 67c | 453.6$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.37 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked BESTIA | 59c | 357.08$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.43 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Phantom | 28c | 345.01$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.84 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80c…d40cbacked Phantom | 58c | 323.69$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.21 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked BESTIA | 53c | 277.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Phantom | 20c | 257.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…79d3backed Phantom | 18c | 216.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Phantom | 44c | 168.12$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.98 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked BESTIA | 65c | 149.83$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.91 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Phantom | 7c | 146$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed BESTIA | 60c | 121.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked BESTIA | 80c | 100.61$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3aef…da41backed BESTIA | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62f9…ae42backed Phantom | 55c | 95.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked BESTIA | 52c | 93.83$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked BESTIA | 65c | 91.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Phantom | 56c | 77.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed BESTIA | 77c | 75.68$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Phantom | 34c | 71.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 644 | 39.8%256 W · 388 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed BESTIA | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…b03bbacked Phantom | 47c | 69.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Phantom | 59c | 61.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.35 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…f543backed BESTIA | 53c | 60.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.59 | 229 | 52%119 W · 110 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Phantom | 49c | 59.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…54a3backed BESTIA | 75c | 59.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.9 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked Phantom | 52c | 56.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Phantom | 31c | 46.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…51dbbacked BESTIA | 68c | 43.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 401 | 48.4%194 W · 207 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed BESTIA | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BESTIA | 61c | 39.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked BESTIA | 72c | 39.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed Phantom | 33c | 37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked BESTIA | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…d8adbacked BESTIA | 66c | 29.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Phantom | 35c | 29.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked BESTIA | 66c | 25.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed BESTIA | 47c | 25.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed BESTIA | 74c | 22.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed BESTIA | 67c | 19.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed BESTIA | 77c | 18.2$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked BESTIA | 71c | 17.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked BESTIA | 71c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Phantom - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Phantom (BO3) - Parken Challenger Championship PlayoffsBESTIA won
- Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs Phantom - Map 1 WinnerBESTIA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.