Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2e37a204510001ca11b81291cc179cfde0f9c1a49f7269fcb7cd1e1e9db7bb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,291
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,291 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4873…15babacked Over | 53c | 2,284$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082.51 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Under | 49c | 1,498$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.26 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Over | 51c | 1,442$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.06 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Under | 48c | 1,100$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.99 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…9bf6backed Under | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Over | 49c | 799.92$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.96 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Under | 47c | 794$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.18 | 1,501 | 54.5%818 W · 683 L | +34.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9f…0eaebacked Under | 50c | 660.97$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.49 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…ea90backed Under | 48c | 477.76$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.71 | 1,110 | 49%544 W · 566 L | +42.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…8ba9backed Over | 51c | 303.92$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.92 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 47c | 271.44$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.58 | 1,385 | 45.1%625 W · 760 L | -12.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked Over | 50c | 201.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 961 | 49.9%480 W · 481 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd2…648cbacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 950 | 48.5%461 W · 489 L | +26.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c2…d39ebacked Over | 50c | 196.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536e…4fd5backed Under | 51c | 146.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…54a4backed Over | 48c | 136$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…d220backed Under | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 49c | 98.02$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.99 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Over | 49c | 71.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 132 | 40.9%54 W · 78 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…27d9backed Under | 51c | 63.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 396 | 52%206 W · 190 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb371…472abacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2636…8699backed Over | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1242…9077backed Over | 39c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0324…0bcbbacked Over | 51c | 45.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Over | 49c | 38.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 343 | 40.5%139 W · 204 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cd…c041backed Over | 50c | 35.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +18.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 51c | 34.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e00…9a9bbacked Over | 51c | 24.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e89…bb29backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +11.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Dplus KIA won
- Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs Dplus KIA (+1.5)Hanwha Life Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend GroupHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 WinnerHanwha Life Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.