CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf88a411ae26375c602c69f727066db6eac7b254bbcd8507553602e89410ad82d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof Black Phoenix, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,270
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,270 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Black Phoenix | 39c | 2,800$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.38 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 1,601$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.04 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Black Phoenix | 39c | 1,289$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.69 | 286 | 37.8%108 W · 178 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 1,190$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.6 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…add8backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 764.87$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c42…b792backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 720.33$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.7 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 452.25$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 429.54$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.24 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefd…d6aabacked Black Phoenix | 43c | 378.63$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.7 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 357$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.65 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 349$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.26 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked Black Phoenix | 46c | 338.79$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.41 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…f923backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 252.44$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.6 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…4b77backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 79c | 244.69$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 242.25$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.32 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 231.97$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.89 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…c965backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 67c | 231.92$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…7a52backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 218.28$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.86 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 71c | 218.06$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 71c | 217.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 235 | 37.9%89 W · 146 L | -16.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 69c | 195.78$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 206 | 53.9%111 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 71c | 187.62$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.76 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 179.3$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.48 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 172$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.36 | 347 | 50.1%174 W · 173 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 169$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 183 | 50.8%93 W · 90 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 168.81$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.16 | 769 | 33.8%260 W · 509 L | -48.3wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa2…7321backed Black Phoenix | 33c | 166.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +65%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…dd57backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 154.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…b4e9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 58c | 148.48$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.55 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 147.82$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 69c | 146.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3bb0backed Black Phoenix | 33c | 145$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.55 | 560 | 49.8%279 W · 281 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 79c | 139.32$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.68 | 726 | 45.6%331 W · 395 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked Black Phoenix | 24c | 135.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 128.84$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.98 | 1,652 | 52.9%874 W · 778 L | +60.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Black Phoenix | 42c | 117.62$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Black Phoenix | 41c | 109.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 32c | 101.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 98$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.69 | 1,523 | 51.5%785 W · 738 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed Black Phoenix | 38c | 82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Black Phoenix | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 174 | 31%54 W · 120 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -32%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Black Phoenix | 30c | 74$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 72.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Black Phoenix | 40c | 70.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 529 | 36.3%192 W · 337 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 72c | 70.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 535 | 69.3%371 W · 164 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Black Phoenix | 27c | 69.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…2793backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Black Phoenix | 28c | 54.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 896 | 30.7%275 W · 621 L | -64.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 53$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 67c | 49.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 67c | 47.87$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 47.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Black Phoenix | 43c | 46.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 71c | 39.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.57 | 493 | 42%207 W · 286 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 38.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 103 | 55.3%57 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Black Phoenix | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35f5…d7c4backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 29.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.85 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6b01backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 57c | 26.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Black Phoenix | 42c | 24.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 231 | 50.2%116 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 71c | 22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 316 | 40.2%127 W · 189 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 19.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 18.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 531 | 45.4%241 W · 290 L | -18.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.