CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x11d342ff4ecf6fadfa0354d68df6bd10213ac3cd9197a20a1a63332b90904b03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof Black Phoenix, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x26f8…3452backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 55c | 4,444$2,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.77 | 202 | 49.5%100 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 1,045$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.44 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 940.66$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.44 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf03c…add8backed Black Phoenix | 55c | 806.43$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 618.93$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.52 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 524.41$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.83 | 659 | 46.9%309 W · 350 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Black Phoenix | 51c | 432.56$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.62 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 400$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c2…6338backed Black Phoenix | 58c | 313.57$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…9590backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 271.11$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67c5…2642backed Black Phoenix | 50c | 260$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 44c | 256.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.85 | 601 | 43.1%259 W · 342 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Black Phoenix | 77c | 248$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.96 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 232$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 594 | 45.8%272 W · 322 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.1 | 498 | 43%214 W · 284 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 197.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.62 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Black Phoenix | 52c | 185.46$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.59 | 298 | 54.7%163 W · 135 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 38c | 178.64$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.23 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 36c | 167.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.32 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Black Phoenix | 46c | 151$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…4b77backed Black Phoenix | 45c | 142.22$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…198bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 135$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…8930backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 133.04$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.75 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 121.27$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 202 | 50%101 W · 101 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 108$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.18 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3596…d91cbacked Black Phoenix | 80c | 106.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.1 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked Black Phoenix | 60c | 102.01$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.95 | 176 | 50.6%89 W · 87 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…c4f0backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.41 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 46c | 93.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf529…755fbacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x975d…cc7abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 43c | 73.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.78 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5275…9379backed Black Phoenix | 35c | 71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2642…deddbacked Black Phoenix | 45c | 69.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b6b…acabbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 55.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 54c | 53$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.53 | 505 | 48.1%243 W · 262 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae95…38fbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 48c | 50.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a9c…fd70backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 45.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.18 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 44.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 50c | 40.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 1,895 | 47.8%906 W · 989 L | -50.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked Black Phoenix | 59c | 36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Black Phoenix | 42c | 34.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 28.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 1,548 | 33.9%524 W · 1,024 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Black Phoenix | 70c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 1,397 | 52.4%732 W · 665 L | +30.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Black Phoenix | 56c | 25.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 238 | 47.9%114 W · 124 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 22.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 3,949 | 36.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L | -201.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Black Phoenix | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 89 | 73%65 W · 24 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Group Stageex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: Black Phoenix vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winnerex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.