Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38f430ce23f34252b928b1d34d8f605f971255aff89d60b75737e5d54c49b71b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,911
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e8e…8212backed Under | 76c | 1,776$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.49 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 6c | 679$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 239 | 48.1%115 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 622.33$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.57 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 34c | 568.29$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.43 | 2,672 | 35.7%954 W · 1,718 L | -153.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 18c | 551.7$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.62 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 537.79$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.89 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b0…5e5ebacked Over | 4c | 398.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.93 | 68 | 2.9%2 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 49c | 324.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.46 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 50c | 304$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 252 | 42.5%107 W · 145 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…9bf6backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Over | 34c | 143$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.38 | 137 | 40.1%55 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 47c | 134.93$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.51 | 1,133 | 31.1%352 W · 781 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 75c | 126.84$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…42c7backed Over | 59c | 115.79$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c1…026dbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70d8…d2babacked Over | 49c | 98.1$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.47 | 541 | 34.8%188 W · 353 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 32c | 75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Over | 22c | 73.11$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.75 | 300 | 42.7%128 W · 172 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Over | 49c | 50.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…159ebacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…1cf3backed Over | 54c | 46.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Over | 46c | 42.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8038…9547backed Under | 52c | 42.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 32c | 39.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 1,459 | 43.3%632 W · 827 L | -33.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 32.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7b…332dbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 146 | 34.2%50 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 51c | 28.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.