Lol · resolved market
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd442d4c83b33e2730f65ee297502cde9a757f7561f334032070f0e19f377119a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,626
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,626 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed Over | 51c | 3,036$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.7 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Under | 49c | 1,920$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940.67 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 53c | 1,392$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.07 | 1,182 | 44.8%530 W · 652 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…92d3backed Under | 49c | 1,313$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.13 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…782bbacked Over | 49c | 692$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.16 | 1,522 | 54.7%832 W · 690 L | +37.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Under | 51c | 432.43$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.22 | 248 | 36.7%91 W · 157 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 49c | 336.73$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -5.9wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…d69bbacked Under | 50c | 330$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -5.0wins | -0.41per pick | 58cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Under | 49c | 281.63$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 197 | 52.8%104 W · 93 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Under | 52c | 259.61$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,399 | 44.9%628 W · 771 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 114.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.79 | 417 | 49.2%205 W · 212 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb909…d559backed Under | 55c | 75.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.53 | 305 | 43.9%134 W · 171 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 45c | 53.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 785 | 49.9%392 W · 393 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Under | 51c | 44.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 414 | 33.6%139 W · 275 L | -30.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -22.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 52c | 26.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7a…8238backed Under | 49c | 26.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 147 | 35.4%52 W · 95 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…65dbbacked Over | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…068ebacked Under | 49c | 23.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd852…6fe9backed Under | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 21.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 1,143 | 38.8%444 W · 699 L | -46.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Under | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1,320 | 38.6%510 W · 810 L | -66.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?this page
- Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5)Nongshim Red Force won
- Game Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs BNK FEARX (+1.5)BNK FEARX won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise GroupNongshim Red Force won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 WinnerBNK FEARX won
- LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 WinnerNongshim Red Force won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.